Match Info

Top 14 - Round 22

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Ernest-Wallon (Toulouse)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Toulouse		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	15
	1.01	45	14
	1.02	34.85	19.46	Watch
	1.01	34	15
	1.01	50	31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.03)	42.97 ↑ (42.27)	18.89 ↑ (14.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 68.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-29)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toulouse
92.8%

Draw
2.2%

Clermont
5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

91.2%

2.2%

6.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Toulouse - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 49:20

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ainuu D.	1. Akhaladze G.
2. Marchand J. (C)	2. Massa B.
3. Mallez P.	3. Tutisani G.
4. Brennan J.	4. Kremer M.
5. Meafou E.	5. Ceyte T.
6. Willis J.	6. Tixeront K.
7. Cros F.	7. Hemery A.
8. Roumat A.	8. Sowakula P.
9. Graou P.	9. Jauneau B. (C)
10. Ntamack R.	10. Plummer H.
11. Lebel M.	11. Raka A.
12. Gourgues K.	12. Darricarrere L.
13. Costes P.	13. Loaloa A.
14. Thomas T.	14. Delguy B.
15. Ramos T.	15. Hamdaoui K.
Substitutes
16. Mauvaka P.	16. Fourcade E.
17. Bertrand B.	17. Lotrian S.
18. Flament T.	18. Michaux L.
19. Elias E.	19. Dessaigne L.
20. Ntamack T.	20. Muarua P.
21. Dupont A.	21. Zamora L.
22. Pouzelgues C.	22. Simone I.
23. Merkler J.	23. Ez Zahouany N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 14)
1', Thomas T. (Try),
1', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
9', Meafou E. (Try),
9', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
10', Ramos T. (Try),
10', Graou P. (Conversion Goal),
15', Darricarrere L. (Try),
15', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
23', Kremer M. 🟥,
31', Jauneau B. (Try),
31', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
40', Plummer H. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 13)
48', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
57', Tutisani G. (Try),
57', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
66', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
71', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 5.

Toulouse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Clermont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Toulouse is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 620:418. (average 31:20.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 347:184. (average 34.7:18.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Stade Toulousain	5	4	0	1	152:90	19
8	Clermont	5	2	0	3	118:146	10

Last Results with these Odds

Toulouse - the odds 1.03 are the expected chance of winning is 91.19%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Toulousain
French Top 14
18.04.26	Castres - Toulouse	25:42 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
12.04.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse	30:15 ✺
04.04.26	Toulouse - Bristol Rugby	59:26 ✺
French Top 14
28.03.26	Toulouse - Montpellier	45:29 ✺
22.03.26	Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse	44:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
French Top 14
18.04.26	Clermont - Lyon	41:23 ✺
29.03.26	Stade Français - Clermont	64:20 ✺
21.03.26	Clermont - Montpellier	17:20 ✺
28.02.26	Clermont - Aviron Bayonnais	38:15 ✺
14.02.26	Toulon - Clermont	14:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
07.09.25	Clermont - Toulouse	24:34
16.02.25	Clermont - Toulouse	18:35
12.10.24	Toulouse - Clermont	48:14
25.02.24	Clermont - Toulouse	33:37
25.11.23	Toulouse - Clermont	31:10
01.01.23	Clermont - Toulouse	13:32
08.10.22	Toulouse - Clermont	46:10

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