The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gloucester 27.6%
Draw 4%
Leicester Tigers 68.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.3%
4.1%
66.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
4.8%
60.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gloucester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Leicester Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Tigers than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leicester Tigers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Gloucester - Leicester Tigers Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Leicester Tigers will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:32
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rapava-Ruskin V.
1. Smith N.
2. Innard J.
2. Blamire J.
3. Fasogbon A.
3. Heyes J.
4. Clark A.
4. Liebenberg H.
5. Alemanno M.
5. Chessum O.
6. Gwynne D.
6. Moro J.
7. Ludlow L.
7. Watson H.
8. Clement J.
8. Cracknell O.
9. Englefield C.
9. van Poortvliet J.
10. Atkinson C.
10. Searle B.
11. Thorley O.
11. Hassell-Collins O.
12. Atkinson S.
12. Bailey O.
13. Llewellyn M.
13. Wand W.
14. Joseph W.
14. Hamer-Webb G.
15. Redshaw B.
15. Steward F.
Substitutes
16. Blake S.
16. Theobald-Thomas F.
17. Bleuler D.
17. van der Flier A.
18. Knight C.
18. Hurd W.
19. Thomas F.
19. Wells H.
20. Trenholm W.
20. Palmer H.
21. Price R.
21. Whiteley T.
22. Barton G.
22. O'Connor J.
23. Edwards-Giraud J.
23. Radwan A.
Coaches
. Skivington G.
. Parling G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 29)
1', Wand W. (Try),
2', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
5', Hamer-Webb G. (Try),
6', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
11', Blamire J. (Try),
12', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
15', Blamire J. (Try),
16', Searle B. (Missed Conversion),
21', Alemanno M. (Try),
22', Atkinson C. (Missed Conversion),
39', Bailey O. (Try),
40', Searle B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 7)
41', Rapava-Ruskin V. ↓, Bleuler D. ↑,
41', Innard J. ↓, Blake S. ↑,
42', Joseph W. (Try),
43', Atkinson C. (Conversion Goal),
52', van Poortvliet J. ↓, Whiteley T. ↑,
52', Smith N. ↓, van der Flier A. ↑,
52', Fasogbon A. ↓, Knight C. ↑,
54', Hassell-Collins O. ↓, Radwan A. ↑,
59', Alemanno M. ↓, Thomas F. ↑,
59', Gwynne D. ↓, Trenholm W. ↑,
61', Heyes J. ↓, Hurd W. ↑,
61', Blamire J. ↓, Theobald-Thomas F. ↑,
68', Cracknell O. ↓, Wells H. ↑,
68', Searle B. ↓, O'Connor J. ↑,
69', Joseph W. ↓, Edwards-Giraud J. ↑,
72', Bleuler D. (Try),
73', Atkinson C. (Missed Conversion),
76', Liebenberg H. ↓, Palmer H. ↑,
77', Wells H. (Try),
78', O'Connor J. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ European Rugby Champions Cup and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership Rugby (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 3.
Gloucester has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Leicester Tigers is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Gloucester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Gloucester has had a series of away games.
Recently, Leicester Tigers has had a series of home games.
In this match, Leicester Tigers is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gloucester won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 422:555. (average 21.1:27.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Gloucester won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 232:221. (average 25.8:24.6).
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Rapava-Ruskin V. 
Smith N. 
Innard J. 
Liebenberg H. 
Alemanno M. 
Watson H. 
Trenholm W. 
O'Connor J. 
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