Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Shute Shield - Round 17

Date: 3 August 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport


	Hunter Wildfires		Manly

	1	X	2
	3.37	22.5	1.37
	3.4	18	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (3.02)	20.25 ↓ (23)	1.34 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hunter Wildfires
27.1%

Draw
4.5%

Manly
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

4.1%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hunter Wildfires has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Manly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hunter Wildfires than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hunter Wildfires won 4.

Hunter Wildfires is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Manly is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Hunter Wildfires have a series of guest games.

In this match Manly is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hunter Wildfires won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 146-141.

Including matches at home between the teams Hunter Wildfires won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 52-40.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hunter Wildfires
Australian Shute Shield
27.07.24	Northern Suburbs - Hunter Wildfires	42:7 ✺
19.07.24	Eastern Suburbs - Hunter Wildfires	45:15 ✺
13.07.24	Hunter Wildfires - Sydney University	10:43 ✺
06.07.24	Eastwood - Hunter Wildfires	28:29 ✺
29.06.24	Western Sydney Two Blues - Hunter Wildfires	62:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWL
- Manly RUFC
Australian Shute Shield
27.07.24	Manly - Sydney University	31:21 ✺
20.07.24	Western Sydney Two Blues - Manly	24:31 ✺
13.07.24	Manly - Southern Districts	35:42 ✺
06.07.24	Warringah - Manly	17:20 ✺
29.06.24	Gordon - Manly	57:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Shute Shield
22.06.24	Manly - Hunter Wildfires	24:3
24.06.23	Manly - Hunter Wildfires	17:18
01.04.23	Hunter Wildfires - Manly	27:19
16.07.22	Manly - Hunter Wildfires	19:27
14.05.22	Hunter Wildfires - Manly	25:21
19.06.21	Manly - Hunter Wildfires	12:17
08.08.20	Manly - Hunter Wildfires	29:29

Hunter Wildfires - Manly: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide