Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli (Udine)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Disney+
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Discovery+, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Italy		Australia

	1	X	2
	3.35	26	1.33	Watch
	3.13	24.44	1.39	Watch
	3.25	26	1.36	Watch
	3.66	26	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↓ (8.55)	25.61 ↓ (34.5)	1.35 ↑ (1.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
27.6%

Draw
3.6%

Australia
68.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.8%

2.7%

86.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Italy's performance.

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Australia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Italy - Australia Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Australia will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:31

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fischetti D.	1. Bell A.
2. Nicotera G.	2. Faessler M.
3. Ferrari S.	3. Tupou T.
4. Cannone N.	4. Frost N.
5. Zambonin A.	5. Williams J.
6. Vintcent R.	6. Hooper T.
7. Zuliani M.	7. Mcreight F.
8. Cannone L.	8. Wilson H. (C)
9. Varney S.	9. Gordon J.
10. Garbisi P.	10. Gordon C.
11. Ioane M.	11. Potter H.
12. Menoncello T.	12. Paisami H.
13. Brex N. (C)	13. Sua'ali'i J.
14. Lynagh L.	14. Toole C.
15. Capuozzo A.	15. Kellaway A.
Substitutes
16. Di Bartolomeo T.	16. Pollard B.
17. Spagnolo M.	17. Ross A.
18. Riccioni M.	18. Nonggorr Z.
19. Ruzza F.	19. Valetini R.
20. Izekor A.	20. Samu P.
21. Page-Relo M.	21. Lonergan R.
22. Allan T.	22. Edmed T.
23. Marin L.	23. Daugunu F.
Coaches
. Quesada G.	. Schmidt J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (9 - 12)
7', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
11', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
20', Faessler M. (Try),
31', Bell A. (Try),
32', Kellaway A. (Conversion Goal),
37', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 7)
41', Bell A. ↓, Ross A. ↑,
47', Tupou T. ↓, Nonggorr Z. ↑,
49', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
50', Ferrari S. ↓, Riccioni M. ↑,
51', Gordon C. (Try),
52', Kellaway A. (Conversion Goal),
55', Gordon C. ↓, Edmed T. ↑,
58', Lynagh L. (Try),
59', Sua'ali'i J. 🟨,
59', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
62', Ioane M. (Try),
63', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
63', Fischetti D. ↓, Spagnolo M. ↑,
64', Williams J. ↓, Valetini R. ↑,
64', Faessler M. ↓, Pollard B. ↑,
68', Varney S. ↓, Page-Relo M. ↑,
68', Nicotera G. ↓, Di Bartolomeo T. ↑,
68', Zuliani M. ↓, Izekor A. ↑,
70', Vintcent R. ↓, Ruzza F. ↑,
70', Paisami H. ↓, Daugunu F. ↑,
71', Wilson H. ↓, Samu P. ↑,
76', Gordon J. ↓, Lonergan R. ↑,

Preview

Australia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Australia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Australia is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 101:165. (average 20.2:33).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
12.07.25	South Africa - Italy	45:0 ✺
05.07.25	South Africa - Italy	42:24 ✺
27.06.25	Namibia - Italy	6:73 ✺
Six Nations
15.03.25	Italy - Ireland	17:22 ✺
09.03.25	England - Italy	47:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLWLL
- Australia rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
01.11.25	England - Australia	25:7 ✺
25.10.25	Japan - Australia	15:19 ✺
Rugby Championship
04.10.25	Australia - New Zealand	14:28 ✺
27.09.25	New Zealand - Australia	33:24 ✺
13.09.25	Australia - Argentina	26:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
12.11.22	Italy - Australia	28:27
17.11.18	Italy - Australia	7:26
24.06.17	Australia - Italy	40:27
09.11.13	Italy - Australia	20:50
24.11.12	Italy - Australia	19:22

Italy - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide