Match Info

World Championship U20 - Round 2

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: AIA Arena (Kutaisi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	TSN+
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
World	RugbyPass TV


	Italy U20		Japan U20

	1	X	2
	1.13	35	5.6
	1.14	32.18	6.01	Watch
	1.14	40	5.7
	1.15	34	5.53
	1.13	35	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.08)	35.24 ↑ (33.15)	5.73 ↓ (7.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy U20
81.2%

Draw
2.6%

Japan U20
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.3%

2.8%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Japan U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Italy U20 - Japan U20 Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Italy U20 will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 39:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brasini C.	1. Ri S.
2. Pelli V.	2. Miura S.
3. Trevisan L.	3. Sasaki H.
4. Fardin S.	4. Kumagae K.
5. Salvanti F.	5. Hyakutake M.
6. Miranda A.	6. Fujikubo R.
7. Wilson J.	7. Shin K.
8. Sette D.	8. Tsubone A. (C)
9. Andretti M.	9. Kataoka S.
10. Fasti R.	10. Niwa T.
11. Luisato D.	11. Fukada I.
12. Casarin R. (C)	12. Fukuda T.
13. Falchetto G.	13. Iwakura R.
14. De Novellis L.	14. Uchida S.
15. Celi P.	15. Koga R.
Substitutes
16. Dinarte E.	16. Kawanai S.
17. Messori G.	17. Aruga K.
18. Mastropasqua E.	18. Kawagoe K.
19. Opoku-Gyamfi E.	19. Yamazaki T.
20. Spreafichi M.	20. Yanase M.
21. Bianchi C.	21. Suda K.
22. Varotto N.	22. Otabe Y.
23. Vitale E.	23. Morioka Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 11)
18', Luisato D. (Try),
19', Andretti M. (Conversion Goal),
24', Niwa T. (Penalty Goal),
29', Andretti M. (Penalty Goal),
31', Niwa T. (Penalty Goal),
35', Fukuda T. (Try),
39', Falchetto G. (Try),
39', Andretti M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (24 - 14)
43', Casarin R. (Try),
44', Andretti M. (Conversion Goal),
53', Miranda A. 🟨,
59', Dinarte E. (Try),
60', Andretti M. (Conversion Goal),
66', Pelli V. (Try),
73', Fukada I. (Try),
73', Niwa T. (Conversion Goal),
74', Varotto N. (Try),
80+3', (Try),
80+3', (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In this match, Italy U20 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Italy U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 86:44. (average 43:22).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy U20 rugby
World Championship U20 Rugby Union
27.06.26	Italy U20 - Scotland U20	32:38 ✺
Six Nations U20
15.03.26	Wales U20 - Italy U20	13:20 ✺
06.03.26	Italy U20 - England U20	17:37 ✺
21.02.26	France U20 - Italy U20	32:17 ✺
13.02.26	Ireland U20 - Italy U20	30:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL
- Japan U20 rugby
World Championship U20 Rugby Union
27.06.26	New Zealand U20 - Japan U20	38:21 ✺
U20 Trophy Rugby Union
17.07.24	Japan U20 - Uruguay U20	75:22 ✺
12.07.24	Scotland U20 - Japan U20	46:10 ✺
07.07.24	Japan U20 - Samoa U20	81:7
World Championship U20 Rugby Union
14.07.23	Italy U20 - Japan U20	45:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship U20 Rugby Union
14.07.23	Italy U20 - Japan U20	45:27
25.06.16	Italy U20 - Japan U20	41:17

Italy U20 - Japan U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide