Match Info

Six Nations Women - Round 5

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Sergio Lanfranchi (Parma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Iceland	Viaplay
Ireland	RTE Player
Mexico	Disney+
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Italy W		Wales W

	1	X	2
	1.16	21	5
	1.13	30	6.6
	1.16	26.35	5.61
	1.17	23	5
	1.12	26	6.5
	1.14	30	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↑ (1.14)	26.06 ↓ (28.49)	5.85 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy W
80.6%

Draw
3.5%

Wales W
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.7%

3.3%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Wales W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Italy W - Wales W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:17

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Turani S.	1. Pyrs G.
2. Vecchini V.	2. Jones K.
3. Seye S.	3. Rose D.
4. Tounesi S.	4. Fleming A.
5. Duca G.	5. Crabb G.
6. Veronese B.	6. Williams K.
7. Sgorbini F.	7. Lewis B.
8. Giordano E. (C)	8. Evans G.
9. Stefan S.	9. Bevan K.
10. Madia V.	10. George L.
11. D'Inca A.	11. Cox C.
12. Mannini S.	12. Keight C.
13. Sillari M.	13. Jones H. (C)
14. Muzzo A.	14. Neumann L.
15. Minuzzi V.	15. Joyce J.
Substitutes
16. Spinelli D.	16. Phillips C.
17. Stecca E.	17. Davies M.
18. Maris G.	18. Scoble J.
19. Locatelli I.	19. John N.
20. Ranuccini A.	20. Callender A.
21. Bitonci A.	21. Jones S.
22. Rigoni B.	22. Bluck H.
23. Granzotto F.	23. Richards C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 12)
10', Williams K. (Try),
17', Stefan S. (Try),
18', Sillari M. (Conversion Goal),
23', Sillari M. (Penalty Goal),
40+2', Pyrs G. (Try),
40+3', Bevan K. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (34 - 0)
49', Sillari M. (Penalty Goal),
54', Granzotto F. (Try),
54', Sillari M. (Conversion Goal),
58', Turani S. (Try),
58', Sillari M. (Conversion Goal),
63', Minuzzi V. (Try),
76', John N. 🟨,
78', Granzotto F. (Try),
80+2', Muzzo A. (Try),
80+2', Sillari M. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Italy won 3.

Italy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Italy is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Italy won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 116:136 (average 12.9:15.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy W rugby
Six Nations Women
19.04.25	Italy W - France W	21:34 ✺
13.04.25	Scotland W - Italy W	17:25 ✺
30.03.25	Italy W - Ireland W	12:54 ✺
23.03.25	England W - Italy W	38:5 ✺
WXV 2 Rugby Women
12.10.24	South Africa W - Italy W	19:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWLLW
- Wales W rugby
Six Nations Women
20.04.25	Wales W - Ireland W	14:40 ✺
12.04.25	France W - Wales W	42:12 ✺
29.03.25	Wales W - England W	12:67 ✺
22.03.25	Scotland W - Wales W	24:21 ✺
WXV 2 Rugby Women
11.10.24	Wales W - Japan W	19:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

WXV 2 Rugby Women
04.10.24	Wales W - Italy W	5:8
Six Nations Women
27.04.24	Wales W - Italy W	22:20
29.04.23	Italy W - Wales W	10:36
30.04.22	Wales W - Italy W	8:10
02.02.20	Wales W - Italy W	15:19
09.02.19	Italy W - Wales W	3:3
11.03.18	Wales W - Italy W	15:22

Italy W - Wales W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide