Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 28 June 2025, Saturday


	Japan		Maori All Blacks

	1	X	2
	10	41	1.04
	7	29	1.1
	9	41	1.05
	14	50	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	10 ↑ (6)	40.25 ↑ (34)	1.06 ↓ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-24)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
9.3%

Draw
2.3%

Maori All Blacks
88.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.4%

2.7%

81.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan's form might have worsened.

Maori All Blacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maori All Blacks's recent form is better than expected.

Japan - Maori All Blacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:44

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobayashi K.	1. Proffit J.
2. Hayate E.	2. Eklund K.
3. Shuhei T.	3. Sykes-Martin K.
4. Uluviti E.	4. Walker-Leawere I.
5. Raratubua W.	5. McWhannell L.
6. Tupou V.	6. Howden T.
7. Shimokawa K.	7. Brown J.
8. Aoki K.	8. Grace C.
9. Fukuda K.	9. Nock S.
10. Greene S.	10. Reihana R.
11. Ueda K.	11. Lowe J.
12. Lawrence C.	12. Wrampling G.
13. Fifita S.	13. Sullivan B.
14. Taira M.	14. Forbes C.
15. Takenoshita J.	15. Sullivan Z.
Substitutes
16. Sato K.	16. Devery J.
17. Kimura S.	17. Rakete-Stones P.
18. Kihara S.	18. Kumeroa B.
19. Yamamoto S.	19. Gallagher Z.
20. Kido T.	20. Delany C.
21. Kitamura S.	21. Hauiti-Parapara K.
22. Ichigo N.	22. Trask K.
23. Vailea H.	23. Taele X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 15)
9', (Try),
10', (Conversion Goal),
20', (Penalty Goal),
24', (Try),
28', (Try),
32', (Try),
32', (Conversion Goal),
35', (Try),
2nd Half (3 - 38)
43', (Try),
44', (Conversion Goal),
50', (Penalty Goal),
52', (Try),
52', (Conversion Goal),
60', (Try),
61', (Conversion Goal),
66', (Try),
67', (Conversion Goal),
72', (Try),
80+1', (Try),

Preview

In this match, Maori All Blacks is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Japan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:50. (average 18:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan rugby
Friendly International Rugby Union
24.11.24	England - Japan	59:14 ✺
16.11.24	Japan - Uruguay	36:20 ✺
09.11.24	France - Japan	52:12 ✺
26.10.24	Japan - New Zealand	19:64 ✺
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
21.09.24	Fiji - Japan	41:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Maori All Blacks
Friendly International Rugby Union
06.07.24	Japan - Maori All Blacks	26:14 ✺
29.06.24	Japan - Maori All Blacks	10:36 ✺
13.11.22	Barbarians - Maori All Blacks	35:31 ✺
12.07.22	Maori All Blacks - Ireland	24:30 ✺
29.06.22	Maori All Blacks - Ireland	32:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
06.07.24	Japan - Maori All Blacks	26:14
29.06.24	Japan - Maori All Blacks	10:36

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