The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiji 32%
Draw 3.5%
Japan 64.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
55.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiji's form might have worsened.
Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Japan's recent form is better than expected.
Fiji - Japan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:33
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (12 - 10)
7', Greene S. (Penalty Goal),
11', Vakatawa V. (Try),
11', Muntz C. (Conversion Goal),
22', Harada M. (Try),
23', Greene S. (Conversion Goal),
26', Ikanivere T. (Try),
2nd Half (3 - 10)
58', Gunter B. (Try),
65', Armstrong-Ravula I. (Penalty Goal),
72', Tua S. (Try),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiji won 4.
Japan has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Japan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Japan holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Fiji has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 195:137 (averaging 32.5:22.8 goals per game).