Match Info

WORLD: Friendly International

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Japan	J sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	Sky Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Japan		New Zealand

	1	X	2
	19	51	1.01
	17	34	1.01
	13	40	1.02
	16.99	53	1.01	Watch
	26	67	1.01
	28	50	1.01
	13	40	1.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	19 (19)	47.86 ↓ (51)	1.01 (1.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 67.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-35)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
5%

Draw
2%

New Zealand
93.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

1.8%

93.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Japan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

New Zealand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Japan - New Zealand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:52

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okabe T.	1. Williams T.
2. Sakate A.	2. Aumua A.
3. Shuhei T.	3. Tosi P.
4. Waqa S.	4. Darry S.
5. Dearns W.	5. Tuipulotu P. (C)
6. Fakatava A.	6. Finau S.
7. Himeno K.	7. Cane S.
8. Makisi F.	8. Sititi W.
9. Fujiwara S.	9. Roigard C.
10. Tatekawa H. (C)	10. McKenzie D.
11. Tuitama M.	11. Telea M.
12. McCurran N.	12. Lienert-Brown A.
13. Riley D.	13. Proctor B.
14. Naikabula J.	14. Reece S.
15. Yazaki Y.	15. Perofeta S.
Substitutes
16. Harada M.	16. Bell G.
17. Mohara T.	17. Tu'ungafasi O.
18. Helu O.	18. Newell F.
19. Uluiviti R. E.	19. Lord J.
20. Shimokawa K.	20. Lakai P.
21. Koyama T.	21. Perenara T.
22. Osada T.	22. Havili D.
23. Matsunaga T.	23. Love R.
Coaches
. Jones E.	. Robertson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 43)
4', Naikabula J. (Try),
5', Tatekawa H. (Conversion Goal),
11', Telea M. (Try),
12', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
14', Tuipulotu P. (Try),
15', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
17', Makisi F. (Try),
18', Tatekawa H. (Missed Conversion),
21', Proctor B. (Try),
22', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
24', Cane S. (Try),
26', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
30', Finau S. (Try),
31', McKenzie D. (Missed Conversion),
33', Tosi P. (Try),
34', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
40', Williams T. (Try),
40+1', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 21)
43', Roigard C. (Try),
43', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
70', Helu O. (Try),
70', Matsunaga T. (Conversion Goal),
79', Love R. (Try),
79', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Love R. (Try),
80+2', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In this match New Zealand is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Japan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 68:161 (average 22.7:53.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan rugby
Pacific Nations Cup Rugby Union
21.09.24	Fiji - Japan	41:17 ✺
15.09.24	Samoa - Japan	27:49 ✺
07.09.24	Japan - USA	41:24 ✺
25.08.24	Canada - Japan	28:55 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
21.07.24	Japan - Italy	14:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL
- New Zealand rugby
Rugby Championship
28.09.24	New Zealand - Australia	33:13 ✺
21.09.24	Australia - New Zealand	28:31 ✺
07.09.24	South Africa - New Zealand	18:12 ✺
31.08.24	South Africa - New Zealand	31:27 ✺
17.08.24	New Zealand - Argentina	42:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
29.10.22	Japan - New Zealand	31:38
03.11.18	Japan - New Zealand	31:69
02.11.13	Japan - New Zealand	6:54

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