The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Japan 7s W 51.7%
Draw 6.7%
Ireland 7s W 41.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.7%
6.3%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
6.4%
57.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Japan 7s W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan 7s W's performance.
Ireland 7s W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ireland 7s W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan 7s W than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan 7s W that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ireland 7s W than the current prediction. (+16%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ireland 7s W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
8.3%
8.3%
Japan 7s W - Ireland 7s W Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Japan will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Ireland will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Japan: 62.2% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 15:20
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (7 - 7)
7', O'Connor R. (Try),
7', McCabe K. (Conversion Goal),
7+2', Saegusa C. (Try),
7+2', Nagata H. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (7 - 0)
10', Okamoto S. (Try),
11', Nagata H. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Japan won 2.
Recent matches Japan is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Ireland is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ireland will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Japan won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 114:205 (average 11.4:20.5).
Watch
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