Match Info

SVNS USA - Relegation Group

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: SVNS USA 🌤️ ...


	Kenya 7s		USA 7s

	1	X	2
	3	17	1.47
	2.85	14.7	1.53
	3	17	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (2.97)	16.23 ↑ (15.57)	1.49 (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 33.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya 7s
31.6%

Draw
5.7%

USA 7s
62.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

7.4%

76.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya 7s has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for USA 7s have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenya 7s than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kenya 7s that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USA 7s than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that USA 7s could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kenya 7s - USA 7s Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 14:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 7)
2', Wekesa K. (Try),
3', Odongo P. (Try),
5', Mboya A. (Conversion Goal),
7+3', Goodrum P. (Try),
7+3', Lacamp L. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 10)
13', Broselle J. (Try),
14+6', Goodrum P. (Try),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kenya won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

USA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kenya won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 344:354. (average 17.2:17.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya 7s rugby
Sevens World Series - USA
03.05.25	Kenya 7s - Portugal 7s	26:14 ✺
03.05.25	Kenya 7s - Samoa 7s	12:19 ✺
Sevens World Series - Singapore
06.04.25	Kenya 7s - Fiji 7s	12:21 ✺
06.04.25	Kenya 7s - Spain 7s	12:5 ✺
05.04.25	France 7s - Kenya 7s	7:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLLWW
- USA 7s rugby
Sevens World Series - USA
03.05.25	USA 7s - Samoa 7s	25:19 ✺
03.05.25	USA 7s - Portugal 7s	26:15 ✺
Sevens World Series - Singapore
05.04.25	South Africa 7s - USA 7s	14:12 ✺
05.04.25	Fiji 7s - USA 7s	38:0 ✺
05.04.25	New Zealand 7s - USA 7s	29:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Sevens World Series - Hong Kong
29.03.25	Kenya 7s - USA 7s	17:10
Sevens World Series - Australia
25.01.25	USA 7s - Kenya 7s	21:26
Sevens World Series - France
14.05.23	Kenya 7s - USA 7s	19:0
Sevens World Series - Singapore
08.04.23	USA 7s - Kenya 7s	21:19
Sevens World Cup
11.09.22	USA 7s - Kenya 7s	26:19
Sevens World Series - USA
28.08.22	Kenya 7s - USA 7s	21:14
Sevens World Series - Canada
16.04.22	USA 7s - Kenya 7s	17:19

Kenya 7s - USA 7s: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide