Match Info

League One - Round 18

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Edogawa Stadium (Tokyo)


	Kubota Spears		Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers

	1	X	2
	1.55	24	2.48
	1.54	22.61	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.61)	23.31 ↑ (20.08)	2.55 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kubota Spears
59.8%

Draw
4%

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

4.6%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

5.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kubota Spears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kubota Spears than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kubota won 5.

Kubota is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kobe Steel is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kobe Steel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kubota will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Kubota will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kubota won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 291:242. (average 29.1:24.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kubota won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 175:139. (average 29.2:23.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kubota Spears
Japan League One Rugby Union
03.05.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Kubota Spears	8:52 ✺
25.04.26	Kubota Spears - Honda Heat	54:21 ✺
18.04.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kubota Spears	22:27 ✺
04.04.26	Toyota Verblitz - Kubota Spears	24:7 ✺
27.03.26	Kubota Spears - Toshiba Brave Lupus	51:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW
- Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
Japan League One Rugby Union
02.05.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Honda Heat	24:19 ✺
25.04.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	49:28 ✺
18.04.26	Toyota Verblitz - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	24:38 ✺
05.04.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	19:40 ✺
28.03.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
13.12.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Kubota Spears	28:33
15.02.25	Kubota Spears - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	25:20
21.04.24	Kubota Spears - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	39:29
14.01.24	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Kubota Spears	34:38
26.03.23	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Kubota Spears	14:23
21.01.23	Kubota Spears - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	25:21
22.04.22	Kubota Spears - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	40:32

Kubota Spears - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide