Match Info

SOUTH AFRICA: Currie Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Ellis Park Stadium (Johannesburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-africa	SuperSport Rugby


	Lions		Cheetahs

	1	X	2
	1.14	26	5.5
	1.17	35	5.05
	1.17	35.88	5.39	Watch
	1.17	26	5
	1.13	34	6.25
	1.17	35	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.19)	31.98 ↑ (29)	5.37 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lions
79.9%

Draw
2.9%

Cheetahs
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

78.1%

3.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Cheetahs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lions - Cheetahs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 40:25

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Naude M.	1. Ferreira S.
2. Visagie J.	2. Fourie C.
3. Ntlabakanye A.	3. Hunt R.
4. Schoeman R.	4. Wegner C.
5. Landsberg D.	5. Sekekete V.
6. Du Plessis R.	6. van der Merwe G.
7. Venter R.	7. Mohoje O.
8. Cairns J.	8. Rudolph J.
9. Steyn N.	9. Nel J.
10. Wolhuter K.	10. Wentzel E.
11. Mafura T.	11. Kasende D.
12. Louw M.	12. Boshoff E.
13. Jonker R.	13. Hartzenberg M.
14. Maxwane R.	14. Jasper C.
15. Horn Q.	15. Annies M.
Substitutes
16. Brandon M.	16. Paulo V.
17. Schoeman J.	17. van Wyk H.
18. van Vuuren C.	18. Victor L.
19. Qoma S.	19. Olivier F.
20. Roets R.	20. Davis A.
21. Pretorius J.	21. van Vuren M.
22. Nohamba S.	22. Lourens G.
23. Mpeku K.	23. Nkula L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 19)
4', Wentzel E. (Try),
5', Wentzel E. (Conversion Goal),
10', Wentzel E. (Try),
11', Wentzel E. (Conversion Goal),
19', Cairns J. (Try),
20', Wolhuter K. (Conversion Goal),
30', Ntlabakanye A. (Try),
31', Wolhuter K. (Conversion Goal),
33', Jasper C. (Try),
38', Venter R. (Try),
2nd Half (24 - 15)
41', Louw M. (Try),
42', Wolhuter K. (Conversion Goal),
43', Sekekete V. (Try),
48', Paulo V. (Try),
51', Louw M. 🟨,
59', Nohamba S. (Penalty Goal),
64', Nohamba S. (Try),
65', Nohamba S. (Conversion Goal),
73', Brandon M. (Try),
74', Nohamba S. (Conversion Goal),
76', Lourens G. (Try),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lions won 2.

Lions in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Cheetahs is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cheetahs could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lions is indisputable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Lions won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 588-599.

Including matches at home between the teams Lions won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 157-171.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lions Rugby
Currie Cup
06.09.24	Lions - Griffons	62:5 ✺
30.08.24	Blue Bulls - Lions	33:57 ✺
24.08.24	Cheetahs - Lions	21:38 ✺
17.08.24	Lions - Western Province	41:22 ✺
10.08.24	Lions - Pumas	55:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Cheetahs Rugby
Currie Cup
07.09.24	Pumas - Cheetahs	14:41 ✺
30.08.24	Griquas - Cheetahs	44:31 ✺
24.08.24	Cheetahs - Lions	21:38 ✺
17.08.24	Cheetahs - Sharks	20:25 ✺
10.08.24	Western Province - Cheetahs	19:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Currie Cup
24.08.24	Cheetahs - Lions	21:38
13.05.23	Cheetahs - Lions	26:33
09.04.23	Lions - Cheetahs	15:52
06.05.22	Lions - Cheetahs	26:35
05.03.22	Cheetahs - Lions	66:14
11.08.21	Cheetahs - Lions	44:44
12.12.20	Cheetahs - Lions	23:39

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