Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 4

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday

Location: Edinburgh Rugby Stadium (Edinburgh)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, URC


	Edinburgh		Lions

	1	X	2
	1.3	26	3.6
	1.3	24	3.6
	1.32	22	3.57	Watch
	1.28	22	3.4
	1.3	20	3.78
	1.3	24	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	23 ↑ (22)	3.59 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Edinburgh
70.5%

Draw
4%

Lions
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.1%

4.2%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Edinburgh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Edinburgh won 2.

Lions has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Edinburgh carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Edinburgh in today's match, at odds of 1.3.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Edinburgh has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 107:174 (averaging 17.8:29 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Edinburgh against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 60:50 goals (averaging 20:16.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Edinburgh	3	3	0	0	80:54	14
7	Lions	3	2	0	1	77:102	9

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Edinburgh: 1.34%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Edinburgh Rugby
Challenge Cup Rugby
16.10.26	Edinburgh - Toulon	17:27 ✺
United Rugby Championship
10.10.26	Zebre - Edinburgh	12:29 ✺
02.10.26	Edinburgh - Stormers	17:13 ✺
25.09.26	Ulster - Edinburgh	29:34 ✺
15.05.26	Edinburgh - Connacht	5:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWWL
- Lions Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.10.26	La Rochelle - Lions	31:14 ✺
United Rugby Championship
10.10.26	Blue Bulls - Lions	57:15 ✺
03.10.26	Lions - Ospreys	35:19 ✺
26.09.26	Lions - Leinster	27:26 ✺
Currie Cup
06.09.26	Griquas - Lions	52:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
21.03.26	Lions - Edinburgh	54:17
Challenge Cup Rugby
04.04.25	Edinburgh - Lions	24:12
United Rugby Championship
05.10.24	Lions - Edinburgh	55:21
28.10.23	Edinburgh - Lions	17:16
07.10.22	Edinburgh - Lions	19:22
02.04.22	Lions - Edinburgh	15:9

Edinburgh - Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide