Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 3

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Loftus Versfeld Stadium (Pretoria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Supersport Action, SuperSport Rugby
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, URC


	Blue Bulls		Lions

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4
	1.24	23	4.2
	1.27	24.48	3.99	Watch
	1.25	24	3.6
	1.26	26	4.18
	1.27	27	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.27)	25.08 ↑ (22.55)	3.96 ↓ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blue Bulls
73.1%

Draw
3.7%

Lions
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.9%

4.1%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blue Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Blue Bulls - Lions Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

AH +9.5 - Lions (1.83) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (31 - 10)
2nd Half (26 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blue Bulls won 2.

Recent results have been tough for Blue Bulls (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lions has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Lions has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this matchup, Blue Bulls is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Blue Bulls has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 643:516 (averaging 32.2:25.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Blue Bulls against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 286:259 goals (averaging 31.8:28.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	Bulls	3	2	0	1	126:54	11
7	Lions	3	2	0	1	77:102	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blue Bulls Rugby
United Rugby Championship
03.10.26	Munster - Blue Bulls	26:22 ✺
26.09.26	Zebre - Blue Bulls	13:42 ✺
Currie Cup
28.08.26	Sharks - Blue Bulls	53:22 ✺
21.08.26	Blue Bulls - Stormers XXIII	26:50 ✺
16.08.26	Blue Bulls - Cheetahs	52:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Lions Rugby
United Rugby Championship
03.10.26	Lions - Ospreys	35:19 ✺
26.09.26	Lions - Leinster	27:26 ✺
Currie Cup
06.09.26	Griquas - Lions	52:12 ✺
28.08.26	Lions - Stormers XXIII	36:12 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
25.08.26	Lions - New Zealand	35:41 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Currie Cup
01.08.26	Lions - Blue Bulls	42:19
United Rugby Championship
31.01.26	Lions - Blue Bulls	17:52
29.11.25	Blue Bulls - Lions	33:43
Currie Cup
30.08.25	Lions - Blue Bulls	44:5
United Rugby Championship
22.02.25	Blue Bulls - Lions	31:19
25.01.25	Lions - Blue Bulls	22:37
Currie Cup
30.08.24	Blue Bulls - Lions	33:57

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