Match Info

WORLD: United Rugby Championship - Round 15

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Denmark	20:35	Viaplay
Finland	21:35	Viaplay
Netherlands	20:35	Viaplay
Norway	20:35	Viaplay
Poland	20:35	Viaplay
Sweden	20:35	Viaplay


	Llanelli Scarlets		Sharks

	1	X	2
	4.33	26	1.22
	4	23	1.22
	2.9	18	1.46
	4.33	21	1.22
	4.95	26	1.21
	4.5	26	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.15)	23.33 ↑ (17.75)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli Scarlets
22.2%

Draw
4%

Sharks
73.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.3%

5.2%

65.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli Scarlets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanelli Scarlets's form might have worsened.

Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sharks's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Llanelli Scarlets - Sharks Predictions

Users Predictions: Sharks will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:28

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mathias K.	1. Nche O.
2. Elias R.	2. Mbatha F.
3. Wainwright S.	3. Koch V.
4. Jones M.	4. Etzebeth E.
5. Lousi S.	5. Van Heerden E.
6. Plumtree T.	6. Buthelezi P.
7. Davis D.	7. Labuschagne L.
8. Fifita V.	8. Tshituka V.
9. Davies G.	9. Williams G.
10. Costelow S.	10. Masuku S.
11. Lewis T.	11. Mapimpi M.
12. James E.	12. Hooker E.
13. Williams J.	13. Am L.
14. Rogers T.	14. Kok W.
15. Nicholas I.	15. Fassi A.
Substitutes
16. Evans S.	16. van Vuuren K.
17. Thomas S.	17. Mchunu N.
18. O'Connor H.	18. Jacobs H.
19. Price J.	19. Rahl C.
20. Tuipulotu C.	20. Grobler G.
21. Hardy K.	21. Hendrikse J.
22. Jones D.	22. Chamberlain B.
23. Conbeer R.	23. Venter F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (13 - 17)
3', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
5', Kok W. (Try),
7', Masuku S. (Conversion Goal),
11', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
14', Masuku S. (Penalty Goal),
19', Elias R. (Try),
20', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
38', Koch V. (Try),
39', Masuku S. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (14 - 15)
45', Masuku S. (Penalty Goal),
54', Mathias K. (Try),
54', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
55', Kok W. (Try),
57', Masuku S. (Conversion Goal),
73', Kok W. (Try),
76', Nicholas I. (Try),
76', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Sharks is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Scarlets could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sharks have a series of home games.

In this match Sharks is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Scarlets won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 52-57.

Including matches at home between the teams Scarlets won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 32-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
20.04.24	Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets	43:18 ✺
30.03.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Glasgow Warriors	3:45 ✺
23.03.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Benetton Treviso	9:13 ✺
02.03.24	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	26:10 ✺
16.02.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Munster	7:42 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
19.04.24	Glasgow Warriors - Sharks	21:10 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.04.24	Sharks - Edinburgh	36:30 ✺
07.04.24	Sharks - Zebre	47:3 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.03.24	Sharks - Edinburgh	23:13 ✺
23.03.24	Sharks - Ulster	22:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
25.03.23	Llanelli Scarlets - Sharks	32:20
11.03.22	Sharks - Llanelli Scarlets	37:20

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