Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 18

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Kings Park Stadium (Durban)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Sharks		Zebre

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	15
	1.01	35	14
	1.01	34	13
	1.02	50	31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	42.5 ↓ (46.75)	18.25 ↓ (18.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-27)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sharks
92.7%

Draw
2.2%

Zebre
5.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

92.9%

5.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Zebre have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sharks - Zebre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 45:18

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 7)
2nd Half (28 - 12)

Preview

Sharks has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zebre is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sharks is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sharks won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 172:92. (average 34.4:18.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sharks won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 120:43. (average 40:14.3).

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Sharks: 3.51% Zebre: 0.58%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Sharks	2	2	0	0	67:44	10
16	Zebre	2	0	0	2	40:87	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sharks Rugby
United Rugby Championship
09.05.26	Sharks - Benetton Treviso	46:7 ✺
24.04.26	Edinburgh - Sharks	33:28 ✺
18.04.26	Ospreys - Sharks	21:17 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
03.04.26	Connacht - Sharks	29:12 ✺
United Rugby Championship
27.03.26	Sharks - Cardiff Rugby	21:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLLLW
- Zebre Rugby
United Rugby Championship
09.05.26	Blue Bulls - Zebre	54:19 ✺
24.04.26	Zebre - Newport Gwent Dragons	18:19 ✺
17.04.26	Edinburgh - Zebre	31:30 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
11.04.26	Zebre - Newport Gwent Dragons	32:35 ✺
05.04.26	Zebre - Section Paloise	31:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
22.03.25	Sharks - Zebre	35:34
Challenge Cup Rugby
07.04.24	Sharks - Zebre	47:3
United Rugby Championship
10.11.23	Zebre - Sharks	12:10
23.09.22	Zebre - Sharks	37:42
19.03.22	Sharks - Zebre	38:6

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