Match Info

United Rugby Championship - Round 2

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Dexcom Stadium (Galway)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	TG4 app Ireland, TG4 Ireland
United-kingdom	FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, URC


	Connacht		Llanelli Scarlets

	1	X	2
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.25	26	3.75
	1.31	23	3.55
	1.36	22.64	3.38	Watch
	1.36	21	3.25
	1.37	20	3.49
	1.2	26	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.22)	23.09 ↓ (24)	3.62 ↓ (4.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Connacht
70.4%

Draw
4%

Llanelli Scarlets
25.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

75.5%

3.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connacht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Connacht's form might have worsened.

Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Connacht will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Connacht (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:19

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 0)
2nd Half (19 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 4.

In this match, Connacht is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Connacht won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 394:411. (average 21.9:22.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Connacht won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 182:143. (average 22.8:17.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
12	Scarlets	3	1	0	2	68:85	7
14	Connacht	3	1	0	2	56:84	5

Outrights of United Rugby Championship for now

Connacht: 1.22% Scarlets: 0.42%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connacht Rugby
United Rugby Championship
28.02.26	Connacht - Glasgow Warriors	15:10 ✺
31.01.26	Zebre - Connacht	15:31 ✺
24.01.26	Connacht - Leinster	23:34 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
17.01.26	Connacht - Montauban	75:14 ✺
11.01.26	Montpellier - Connacht	33:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWL
- Llanelli Scarlets
United Rugby Championship
27.02.26	Edinburgh - Llanelli Scarlets	24:19 ✺
30.01.26	Benetton Treviso - Llanelli Scarlets	20:20 ✺
24.01.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Ulster	27:22 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
18.01.26	Northampton Saints - Llanelli Scarlets	43:28 ✺
10.01.26	Llanelli Scarlets - Section Paloise	38:47 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

United Rugby Championship
04.10.24	Llanelli Scarlets - Connacht	23:24
02.03.24	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	26:10
21.10.22	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	36:14
19.02.22	Llanelli Scarlets - Connacht	23:29
22.03.21	Llanelli Scarlets - Connacht	41:36
14.11.20	Connacht - Llanelli Scarlets	14:20
28.09.19	Llanelli Scarlets - Connacht	18:10

Upcoming Matches