Match Info

Top 14 - Round 3

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de Gerland (Lyon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5
United-kingdom	FloSports app
World	TOP 14 Rugby TV


	Lyon		Section Paloise

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.73	22	2.14
	1.78	20.31	2.18	Watch
	1.7	22	2.09
	1.73	17	2.1
	1.73	23	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.62)	20.89 ↑ (20.44)	2.14 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
52.8%

Draw
4.4%

Section Paloise
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

4.6%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Section Paloise's recent form is better than expected.

Lyon - Section Paloise Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lyon (1.73) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rey J.	1. Etchebehere A.
2. Marchand G.	2. Montoya J.
3. Aptsiauri I.	3. Laclayat T.
4. William T.	4. Jolmes T.
5. Guillard M.	5. Pesenti B.
6. Deliance A. (C)	6. Credoz L.
7. Saghinadze B.	7. Auradou H. (C)
8. Simmonds S.	8. Isa F.
9. Cassang C.	9. Souverbie T.
10. Meliande M.	10. Desperes A.
11. Wainiqolo J.	11. Grandidier-Nkanang A.
12. Millet T.	12. Brau-Boirie F.
13. Masi I.	13. Gailleton E.
14. Dumortier E.	14. Rodrigo M.
15. Lorre G.	15. Attissogbe T.
Substitutes
16. Chat C.	16. Rey L.
17. Gallo T.	17. Parrou H.
18. Cretin D.	18. Picquette R.
19. Roux J.	19. Grondona S.
20. Couilloud B.	20. Daubagna T.
21. Berdeu L.	21. Simmonds J.
22. Seguret A.	22. Manu T.
23. Marceline T.	23. Zabala J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (20 - 13)
4', Millet T. (Try),
4', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
13', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
13', Rodrigo M. (Try),
16', Rodrigo M. (Try),
24', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
37', Meliande M. (Penalty Goal),
38', Masi I. (Try),
38', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (31 - 12)
45', Auradou H. (Try),
46', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
49', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
52', Pesenti B. 🟥,
53', Simmonds S. (Try),
59', Delhommel Y. (Try),
63', Chat C. (Try),
64', Meliande M. (Conversion Goal),
71', Cretin D. 🟨,
76', Lorre G. (Try),
77', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),
79', Seguret A. (Try),
80', Berdeu L. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lyon has recorded 11 wins, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 474:466 (averaging 23.7:23.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lyon against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 289:184 goals (averaging 28.9:18.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Section Paloise	5	4	0	1	204:155	18
6	Lyon	5	3	0	2	177:174	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon OU
French Top 14
12.09.26	Racing Métro - Lyon	31:48 ✺
05.09.26	Lyon - Clermont	40:36 ✺
06.06.26	Lyon - Montpellier	25:28 ✺
30.05.26	Toulouse - Lyon	39:31 ✺
16.05.26	Lyon - Aviron Bayonnais	42:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLLW
- Section Paloise
French Top 14
12.09.26	Section Paloise - Aviron Bayonnais	70:28 ✺
05.09.26	Montpellier - Section Paloise	19:27 ✺
13.06.26	Section Paloise - Racing Métro	31:33 ✺
06.06.26	Section Paloise - Montauban	71:35 ✺
30.05.26	Montpellier - Section Paloise	26:18 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
03.01.26	Lyon - Section Paloise	22:17
27.09.25	Section Paloise - Lyon	40:15
10.05.25	Lyon - Section Paloise	27:29
30.11.24	Section Paloise - Lyon	29:15
27.04.24	Lyon - Section Paloise	38:20
02.09.23	Section Paloise - Lyon	40:10
07.01.23	Section Paloise - Lyon	12:21

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