The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Section Paloise 40.6%
Draw 4.3%
Toulouse 55%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
5.1%
63.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
4.9%
65.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Section Paloise's performance.
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toulouse might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Section Paloise that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toulouse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Section Paloise - Toulouse Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:31
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Parrou H.
1. Ainuu D.
2. Delhommel Y.
2. Marchand J.
3. Laclayat T.
3. Aldegheri D.
4. Auradou H.
4. Elias E.
5. Capelli M.
5. Meafou E.
6. Zegueur S.
6. Jelonch A.
7. Credoz L.
7. Banos L.
8. Gorgadze B.
8. Ntamack T.
9. Daubagna T.
9. Graou P.
10. Simmonds J.
10. Kinghorn B.
11. Grandidier A.
11. Lebel M.
12. Brau-Boirie F.
12. Gourgues K.
13. Gailleton E.
13. Barassi P.
14. Arfeuil G.
14. Capuozzo A.
15. Maddocks J.
15. Remue M.
Substitutes
16. Rey L.
16. Cramont G.
17. Seneca R.
17. Neti R.
18. Maximin J.
18. Verge C.
19. Whitelock L.
19. Castro-Ferreira M.
20. Isa F.
20. Saito N.
21. Luc A.
21. Ntamack R.
22. Desperes A.
22. Thomas T.
23. Tokolahi S.
23. Colombe Reazel G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (13 - 20)
3', Marchand J. (Try),
5', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
12', Capuozzo A. (Try),
13', Kinghorn B. (Conversion Goal),
14', Grandidier A. (Try),
15', Simmonds J. (Conversion Goal),
21', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
23', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
26', Jelonch A. 🟨,
34', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
38', Simmonds J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (17 - 6)
47', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
47', Grandidier A. (Try),
48', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
68', Desperes A. (Penalty Goal),
73', Kinghorn B. (Penalty Goal),
80+1', Maximin J. (Try),
80+1', Desperes A. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Toulouse might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Section Paloise won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 288:529. (average 15.2:27.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Section Paloise won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 149:146. (average 16.6:16.2).
France
United-kingdom
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Parrou H. 
Ainuu D. 
Elias E. 
Gorgadze B. 
Simmonds J. 
Kinghorn B. 
Capuozzo A. 
Maddocks J. 
Remue M. 
Whitelock L. 
Saito N. 
Tokolahi S. 
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