Match Info

Top 14 - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de Gerland (Lyon)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 5
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Lyon		Stade Français

	1	X	2
	1.11	34	6.5
	1.09	35	6.8
	1.12	25.55	6.58	Watch
	1.07	31	8
	1.11	35	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.12)	32.11 ↑ (23)	6.94 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
83.8%

Draw
2.9%

Stade Français
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.9%

3.9%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lyon - Stade Français Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 38:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kaabeche H.	1. Alo-Emile M.
2. Chat C.	2. Peyresblanques L.
3. Ainsley J.	3. Lux Y.
4. Lambey F.	4. Scelzo J. M.
5. Roux J.	5. Gabrillagues P.
6. Cretin D.	6. Halaifonua T.
7. Allen L.	7. Chapuis R.
8. Simmonds S.	8. Hirigoyen M.
9. Cassang C.	9. Abadie P.
10. Jackson D. P.	10. Carbonel L.
11. Ioane M.	11. Laloi C.
12. Millet T.	12. Nene N.
13. Masi I.	13. Marchant J.
14. Dumortier E.	14. Dakuwaqa P.
15. Lorre G.	15. Barre L.
Substitutes
16. Sarragallet M.	16. Alo-Emile P.
17. Moukoro T.	17. Paiva T.
18. William T.	18. Azagoh P.
19. Guillard M.	19. Tanga Mangene Y.
20. Couilloud B.	20. Timo A.
21. Meliande M.	21. Motassi T.
22. Okuya M.	22. Vili T.
23. Aptsiauri I.	23. Melikidze G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (14 - 16)
19', Dakuwaqa P. (Try),
19', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
28', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
30', Ioane M. (Try),
30', Jackson D. P. (Conversion Goal),
33', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
35', Masi I. (Try),
36', Jackson D. P. (Conversion Goal),
39', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (28 - 21)
43', Ioane M. (Try),
43', Jackson D. P. (Conversion Goal),
47', Couilloud B. (Try),
47', Dakuwaqa P. 🟨,
48', Jackson D. P. (Conversion Goal),
49', Masi I. (Try),
49', Jackson D. P. (Conversion Goal),
57', Carbonel L. (Try),
57', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
59', Dumortier E. (Try),
60', Jackson P. (Conversion Goal),
64', Melikidze G. (Try),
64', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),
70', Garcia A. (Try),
70', Carbonel L. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 1.

In this match, Lyon is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 569:421. (average 28.5:21.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 321:167. (average 32.1:16.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon OU
French Top 14
13.09.25	Montauban - Lyon	18:25 ✺
06.09.25	Lyon - Racing Métro	32:7 ✺
07.06.25	Lyon - Racing Métro	34:47 ✺
01.06.25	Toulouse - Lyon	43:3 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
23.05.25	Bath - Lyon	37:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL
- Stade Français
French Top 14
13.09.25	Section Paloise - Stade Français	34:10 ✺
06.09.25	Stade Français - Montauban	42:24 ✺
07.06.25	Stade Français - Castres	21:10 ✺
31.05.25	Clermont - Stade Français	55:20 ✺
17.05.25	Stade Français - Lyon	31:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
17.05.25	Stade Français - Lyon	31:30
13.10.24	Lyon - Stade Français	35:3
23.03.24	Stade Français - Lyon	22:13
11.11.23	Lyon - Stade Français	32:36
14.05.23	Stade Français - Lyon	31:31
Challenge Cup Rugby
01.04.23	Stade Français - Lyon	24:41
French Top 14
24.09.22	Lyon - Stade Français	33:27

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