Match Info

Top 14 - Round 2

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Montauban		Lyon

	1	X	2
	2.7	21	1.5
	2.85	24	1.44
	2.50	22.43	1.57	Watch
	2.63	29	1.5
	3.05	21	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.49)	23.49 ↑ (20.67)	1.49 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
33.7%

Draw
3.9%

Lyon
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

4.4%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montauban's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Montauban - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montauban (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:28

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bue T.	1. Moukoro T.
2. Greyling R.	2. Marchand G.
3. Sordoni L.	3. Aptsiauri I.
4. Uanivi T.	4. William T.
5. Maafu N.	5. Roux J.
6. Quercy F. (C)	6. Cretin D. (C)
7. Ringuet K.	7. Okuya M.
8. Wilkins K.	8. Simmonds S.
9. Powell J.	9. Cassang C.
10. Bosviel J.	10. Berdeu L.
11. Reilhac Y.	11. Wainiqolo J.
12. Jackson J.	12. Millet T.
13. Espeut M.	13. Masi I.
14. Vici J.	14. Mathiron A.
15. Tuculet S.	15. Tchaptchet A.
Substitutes
16. Maurouard J.	16. Chat C.
17. Seyrolle L.	17. Rey J.
18. Kanika N.	18. Geraci K.
19. Fifita V.	19. Shvangiradze B.
20. Zabalza H.	20. Gonzalez E.
21. Mouchous B.	21. Jackson D. P.
22. Renda S.	22. Parisien A.
23. Pomponio F.	23. Ainsley J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (6 - 15)
3', Moukoro T. (Try),
10', Bosviel J. (Drop Goal),
13', Bosviel J. (Penalty Goal),
17', Berdeu L. (Penalty Goal),
37', Masi I. (Try),
37', Jackson D. P. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 10)
44', Jackson J. (Try),
45', Bosviel J. (Conversion Goal),
60', Wainiqolo J. (Try),
60', Jackson D. P. (Conversion Goal),
64', Jackson D. P. (Penalty Goal),
72', Vici J. (Try),

Preview

In this match, Lyon is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montauban won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:67. (average 15.5:33.5).

Including home match between the teams, Montauban won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Top 14
06.09.25	Stade Français - Montauban	42:24 ✺
French Pro D2
07.06.25	FC Grenoble - Montauban	19:24 ✺
30.05.25	Brive - Montauban	13:29 ✺
23.05.25	Colomiers - Montauban	23:26 ✺
16.05.25	Stade Aurillacois - Montauban	36:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 LWWWL
- Lyon OU
French Top 14
06.09.25	Lyon - Racing Métro	32:7 ✺
07.06.25	Lyon - Racing Métro	34:47 ✺
01.06.25	Toulouse - Lyon	43:3 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
23.05.25	Bath - Lyon	37:12 ✺
French Top 14
17.05.25	Stade Français - Lyon	31:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
06.02.16	Montauban - Lyon	17:23
11.09.15	Lyon - Montauban	44:14

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