Match Info

League One - Round 6

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Sagamihara Gion Stadium (Sagamihara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	J sports 3


	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars		Ricoh Black Rams

	1	X	2
	1.42	26	2.9
	1.49	25.13	2.75
	1.5	23	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.39)	24.71 ↑ (20.6)	2.76 ↓ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars
62.8%

Draw
3.7%

Ricoh Black Rams
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

4.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

5.1%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Ricoh Black Rams has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ricoh Black Rams than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ricoh Black Rams, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 13)
2nd Half (5 - 20)

Preview

Mitsubishi DynaBoars is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Black Rams has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mitsubishi DynaBoars is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mitsubishi DynaBoars won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 111:109. (average 22.2:21.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mitsubishi DynaBoars won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 52:84. (average 17.3:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars
Japan League One Rugby Union
16.01.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	47:36 ✺
10.01.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	47:22 ✺
28.12.25	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Panasonic Wild Knights	3:33 ✺
20.12.25	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Canon Eagles	17:10 ✺
13.12.25	Urayasu D-Rocks - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Ricoh Black Rams
Japan League One Rugby Union
16.01.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Ricoh Black Rams	67:21 ✺
10.01.26	Toyota Verblitz - Ricoh Black Rams	29:37 ✺
26.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Honda Heat	32:28 ✺
20.12.25	Kubota Spears - Ricoh Black Rams	50:28 ✺
12.12.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath	15:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
28.02.25	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Ricoh Black Rams	7:22
26.04.24	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Ricoh Black Rams	24:31
15.12.23	Ricoh Black Rams - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	17:25
22.04.23	Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Ricoh Black Rams	21:31
16.12.22	Ricoh Black Rams - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	8:34

Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars - Ricoh Black Rams: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide