Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 23

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 5


	Mont-De-Marsan		Béziers

	1	X	2
	1.4	23	3.1
	1.37	22	3.2
	1.4	22.78	3.18
	1.4	21	3
	1.34	15	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.33)	20.76 ↑ (20.2)	3.17 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mont-De-Marsan
66.6%

Draw
4.4%

Béziers
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

4.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

3.7%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Béziers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mont-De-Marsan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Béziers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mont De Marsan - Béziers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Mont-De-Marsan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:19

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 17)
2nd Half (24 - 7)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Mont-De-Marsan is a strong favorite.

We predict that Mont-De-Marsan will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 540:438. (average 27:21.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mont-De-Marsan won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 355:161. (average 35.5:16.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
11	Beziers	5	2	0	3	103:168	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
27.02.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Biarritz	34:16 ✺
20.02.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Mont-De-Marsan	73:7 ✺
13.02.26	SA XV Charente - Mont-De-Marsan	23:13 ✺
30.01.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Brive	20:3 ✺
23.01.26	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	29:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWL
- AS Béziers
French Pro D2
27.02.26	Béziers - Oyonnax Rugby	16:15 ✺
20.02.26	Colomiers - Béziers	18:0 ✺
13.02.26	Béziers - FC Grenoble	23:17 ✺
30.01.26	Béziers - US Dax	10:6 ✺
23.01.26	Brive - Béziers	43:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
19.09.25	Béziers - Mont-De-Marsan	43:9
18.04.25	Béziers - Mont-De-Marsan	37:12
20.12.24	Mont-De-Marsan - Béziers	47:32
16.02.24	Béziers - Mont-De-Marsan	25:20
07.09.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Béziers	38:24
02.03.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Béziers	49:14
01.09.22	Béziers - Mont-De-Marsan	26:24

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