What is the expert prediction for SA XV Charente vs Mont-De-Marsan?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for SA XV Charente vs Mont-De-Marsan. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch SA XV Charente vs Mont-De-Marsan live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

SA XV Charente vs Mont-De-Marsan Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, February 13, 2026)

Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 20

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 4


	SA XV Charente		Mont-De-Marsan

	1	X	2
	1.17	34	5
	1.21	26	4.4
	1.2	29.11	4.75	Watch
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.25	30	4.1
	1.22	26	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.33)	28.52 ↑ (24)	4.51 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

SA XV Charente
76.3%

Draw
3.2%

Mont-De-Marsan
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

3.8%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

4.1%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SA XV Charente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SA XV Charente's performance.

Mont-De-Marsan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mont-De-Marsan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SA XV Charente than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SA XV Charente will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): SA XV Charente will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 10)
2nd Half (13 - 3)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 2.

SA XV Charente has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mont-De-Marsan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, SA XV Charente is the team to beat.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 301:372. (average 18.8:23.3).

Including home matches between the teams, SA XV Charente won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 166:176. (average 20.8:22).

banner

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Angouleme	26	11	0	15	495:633	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Soyaux Angoulême XV Charente
French Pro D2
30.01.26	Colomiers - SA XV Charente	42:0 ✺
23.01.26	SA XV Charente - Oyonnax Rugby	11:23 ✺
16.01.26	Biarritz - SA XV Charente	46:22 ✺
09.01.26	SA XV Charente - Nevers	27:3 ✺
19.12.25	Carcassonne - SA XV Charente	35:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
30.01.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Brive	20:3 ✺
23.01.26	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	29:26 ✺
16.01.26	Mont-De-Marsan - Valence Romans Drôme	18:13 ✺
09.01.26	Vannes - Mont-De-Marsan	47:29 ✺
19.12.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Provence Rugby	25:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
14.11.25	Mont-De-Marsan - SA XV Charente	6:16
28.03.25	Mont-De-Marsan - SA XV Charente	17:23
20.09.24	SA XV Charente - Mont-De-Marsan	19:32
01.03.24	Mont-De-Marsan - SA XV Charente	45:7
13.10.23	SA XV Charente - Mont-De-Marsan	18:28
28.04.23	SA XV Charente - Mont-De-Marsan	22:34
07.10.22	Mont-De-Marsan - SA XV Charente	34:26

Upcoming Matches