Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 9

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 4


	Mont-De-Marsan		Nevers

	1	X	2
	1.36	23	3.2
	1.34	24	3.3
	1.36	20.68	3.40	Watch
	1.31	19	3.47
	1.35	21	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.38)	21.54 ↑ (18)	3.35 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mont-De-Marsan
68.3%

Draw
4.3%

Nevers
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

5.1%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.4%

5.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mont-De-Marsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Nevers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mont-De-Marsan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mont-De-Marsan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevers than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mont De Marsan - Nevers Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Mont-De-Marsan will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (33 - 10)
2nd Half (38 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 2.

Mont-De-Marsan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nevers has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Mont-De-Marsan is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mont-De-Marsan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 282:339. (average 17.6:21.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mont-De-Marsan won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 210:145. (average 23.3:16.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mont-De-Marsan
French Pro D2
24.10.25	Biarritz - Mont-De-Marsan	35:13 ✺
17.10.25	Mont-De-Marsan - FC Grenoble	32:18 ✺
03.10.25	Valence Romans Drôme - Mont-De-Marsan	35:21 ✺
26.09.25	Mont-De-Marsan - Carcassonne	19:34 ✺
19.09.25	Béziers - Mont-De-Marsan	43:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- USO Nevers
French Pro D2
24.10.25	Nevers - Stade Aurillacois	62:28 ✺
17.10.25	Provence Rugby - Nevers	39:33 ✺
03.10.25	Nevers - SA XV Charente	33:10 ✺
26.09.25	Nevers - Biarritz	38:24 ✺
18.09.25	FC Grenoble - Nevers	20:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
10.01.25	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	34:0
18.10.24	Mont-De-Marsan - Nevers	22:14
23.02.24	Mont-De-Marsan - Nevers	27:17
08.12.23	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	25:16
24.02.23	Nevers - Mont-De-Marsan	15:12
25.11.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Nevers	22:19
29.05.22	Mont-De-Marsan - Nevers	26:15

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