Match Info

FRANCE: PRO D2 - ROUND 29

Date: 28 April 2023, Friday


	Montauban		Carcassonne

	1	X	2
	1.35	25	3.2
	1.33	21	3.4
	1.37	27	3.13
	1.32	23	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)	24 ↑ (21)	3.31 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montauban
68.4%

Draw
3.8%

Carcassonne
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

4.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

4.3%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montauban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Carcassonne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montauban that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carcassonne than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Montauban - Carcassonne Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Montauban will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Carcassonne will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:19

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Montauban won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Montauban is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Montauban to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Montauban won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 288-315.

Including matches at home between the teams Montauban won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 146-130.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Pro D2
14.04.23	Mont-De-Marsan - Montauban	25:13 ✺
07.04.23	Montauban - Rouen Normandie	38:16 ✺
31.03.23	Montauban - Stade Aurillacois	30:15 ✺
24.03.23	Agen - Montauban	22:26 ✺
17.03.23	Montauban - Béziers	22:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWWL
- US Carcassonne
French Pro D2
14.04.23	Carcassonne - Vannes	22:31 ✺
07.04.23	Agen - Carcassonne	30:19 ✺
31.03.23	Carcassonne - Biarritz	20:12 ✺
24.03.23	Béziers - Carcassonne	18:17 ✺
17.03.23	Carcassonne - Mont-De-Marsan	37:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
02.09.22	Carcassonne - Montauban	21:10
27.01.22	Carcassonne - Montauban	31:6
03.09.21	Montauban - Carcassonne	25:16
02.04.21	Montauban - Carcassonne	10:40
05.02.21	Carcassonne - Montauban	23:17
28.02.20	Carcassonne - Montauban	23:14
22.11.19	Montauban - Carcassonne	20:24

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