Match Info
Top 14 - Round 5Date: 4 October 2025, SaturdayLocation: GGL Stadium (Montpellier)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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France | CANAL+ Sport 360 |
United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
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Montpellier |
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La Rochelle |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.5 |
21 |
2.75 |
|
 |
1.57 |
23 |
2.3 |
|
 |
1.52 |
23 |
2.55 |
|
 |
1.19 |
28.96 |
4.91 |
Watch |
 |
1.45 |
20 |
2.84 |
|
 |
1.54 |
24 |
2.65 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.46 ↓ (1.52) |
23.33 ↑ (18) |
3 ↑ (2.64) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montpellier 64.5% | Draw 4% | La Rochelle 31.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Montpellier - La Rochelle Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 33.3%). La Rochelle (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:24 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Erdocio B.
| 1. Wardi R.
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2. Uelese J.
| 2. Sutidze N.
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3. Hounkpatin W.
| 3. Kuntelia A.
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4. Beard A.
| 4. Lavault T.
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5. Chalureau B.
| 5. Douglas K.
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6. Camara Y.
| 6. Cancoriet J.
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7. Nouchi L. (C)
| 7. Jegou O.
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8. Vunipola V.
| 8. Alldritt G. (C)
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9. Price A.
| 9. Le Garrec N.
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10. Miotti H.
| 10. Hastoy A.
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11. Moustin M.
| 11. Niniashvili D.
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12. Anyanwu L.
| 12. Favre J.
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13. Vincent A.
| 13. Seuteni U.
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14. Ngandebe G.
| 14. Vunivalu S.
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15. Banks T.
| 15. Pacome U.
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| Substitutes |
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16. Riccitelli R.
| 16. Latu S.
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17. Abuladze N.
| 17. Penverne L.
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18. Duguid T.
| 18. Boudehent P.
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19. Masibaka A.
| 19. Botia L.
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20. Bernadet A.
| 20. Haddad M.
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21. Vincent T.
| 21. Berjon T.
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22. Tambwe M.
| 22. Lagivala S.
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23. Haouas M.
| 23. Sorin K.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (23 - 10)
- 4', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 6', Vunivalu S. (Try),
- 6', Hastoy A. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 18', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 21', Miotti H. (Try),
- 21', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 32', Ngandebe G. (Try),
- 33', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 3)
- 44', Hastoy A. (Penalty Goal),
- 48', Nouchi L. (Try),
- 48', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Bernadet A. (Try),
- 69', Vincent T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 3.La Rochelle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Montpellier might have a minor edge in this game.We predict that Montpellier will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 478:475. (average 23.9:23.8).Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 255:144. (average 28.3:16).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 18.05.25 | La Rochelle - Montpellier | 47:18 | | 26.10.24 | Montpellier - La Rochelle | 16:0 | | 03.02.24 | La Rochelle - Montpellier | 18:10 | | 20.08.23 | Montpellier - La Rochelle | 26:15 | | 13.05.23 | Montpellier - La Rochelle | 42:31 | | 03.09.22 | La Rochelle - Montpellier | 26:22 | | European Rugby Champions Cup | | | 07.05.22 | La Rochelle - Montpellier | 31:19 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;