The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montpellier 86.2%
Draw 2.6%
Castres 11.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
84.9%
3%
12.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
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Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Top 14 Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Recently, Montpellier has faced a series of away games on the road.
The betting markets point to Montpellier as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 465:492 (averaging 23.3:24.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montpellier against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 225:203 goals (averaging 25:22.6 per game).
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