Match Info
Top 14 - Round 12Date: 20 December 2025, SaturdayLocation: GGL Stadium (Montpellier)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3 |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
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 |
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Montpellier |
|
Castres |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.14 |
34 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.14 |
28 |
5.6 |
|
 |
1.14 |
31.64 |
6.52 |
 Watch |
 |
1.11 |
29 |
6.5 |
|
 |
1.12 |
29 |
6.54 |
|
 |
1.11 |
29 |
6.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.13 ↓
(1.23) |
30.11 ↑
(25.81) |
6.19 ↑
(4.76) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 42.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15)
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Montpellier
82% | Draw
3.1% | Castres
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montpellier's performance.Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Montpellier - Castres Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:14 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Forletta E.
| 1. Galisson L.
|
2. Tolofua C.
| 2. Durand T.
|
3. Hounkpatin W.
| 3.  Collier W.
|
4. Verhaeghe F.
| 4. Ducat G.
|
5. Chalureau B.
| 5. Vanverberghe F.
|
6. Camara Y.
| 6. Delaporte B.
|
7. Nouchi L.
| 7. Maravat G.
|
8. Vunipola V.
| 8.  Ramototabua V.
|
9.  Price A.
| 9. Fernandez J.
|
10.  Miotti H.
| 10. Herve E.
|
11. Moustin M.
| 11. Vargas A.
|
12. Piccardo J.
| 12. Cocagi A.
|
13. Vincent A.
| 13.  Goodhue J.
|
14. Ngandebe G.
| 14.  Ambadiang C.
|
15.  Banks T.
| 15. Palis G.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Riccitelli R.
| 16. Zarantonello L.
|
17. Erdocio B.
| 17. Tichit A.
|
18.  Beard A.
| 18. Staniforth T.
|
19. Duguid T.
| 19. Cope B.
|
20. Masibaka A.
| 20. Doubrere G.
|
21. Coly L.
| 21. Guilhot L.
|
22. Darmon T.
| 22. Hulleu N.
|
23.  Japaridze L.
| 23. Corato N.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (20 - 14)
- 1', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 3', Palis G. 🟨,
- 4', Ngandebe G. (Try),
- 4', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Moustin M. (Try),
- 15', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Ambadiang C. (Try),
- 25', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 34', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 35', Vargas A. (Try),
- 35', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (13 - 17)
- 43', Miotti H. (Penalty Goal),
- 51', Riccitelli R. (Try),
- 51', Miotti H. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Zarantonello L. (Try),
- 62', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 67', Fernandez J. (Try),
- 67', Fernandez J. (Conversion Goal),
- 74', Fernandez J. (Penalty Goal),
- 76', Coly L. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 2.Montpellier is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Castres has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Montpellier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Montpellier is the undisputed favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montpellier won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 451:471. (average 22.6:23.6).Including home matches between the teams, Montpellier won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 224:186. (average 24.9:20.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| French Top 14 | | | 01.03.25 | Montpellier - Castres | 21:17 | | 02.11.24 | Castres - Montpellier | 30:26 | | 11.05.24 | Castres - Montpellier | 27:26 | | 23.12.23 | Montpellier - Castres | 30:21 | | 15.04.23 | Montpellier - Castres | 19:28 | | 08.10.22 | Castres - Montpellier | 26:13 | | 24.06.22 | Castres - Montpellier | 10:29 |
|
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✺ - difficult match;
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