Match Info

Date: 15 October 2020, Thursday


	Nevers		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.25
	1.34	23	3.25
	1.34	20	3.1
	1.36	21	3.2
	1.38	18	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	21 ↓ (21.63)	3.23 ↑ (3.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevers
67.5%

Draw
4.3%

Perpignan
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

4.3%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

3.8%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Perpignan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevers than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nevers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Nevers - Perpignan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nevers will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Perpignan will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perpignan: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 23:17

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Preview

Recent matches Nevers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Perpignan is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nevers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Nevers is a favorite.

Perpignan is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nevers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 67-54.

Including matches at home between the teams Nevers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 48-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USO Nevers
French Pro D2
09.10.20	Stade Aurillacois - Nevers	23:17 ✺
25.09.20	Nevers - SA XV Charente	25:12 ✺
17.09.20	Provence Rugby - Nevers	25:22 ✺
11.09.20	Nevers - Valence Romans Drôme	33:11 ✺
05.09.20	FC Grenoble - Nevers	27:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLWL
- USA Perpignan
French Pro D2
10.10.20	Perpignan - FC Grenoble	26:18 ✺
03.10.20	Perpignan - Mont-De-Marsan	50:10 ✺
27.09.20	Carcassonne - Perpignan	23:26 ✺
18.09.20	Perpignan - Rouen Normandie	20:14 ✺
03.09.20	Biarritz - Perpignan	21:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
31.10.19	Nevers - Perpignan	14:10
02.03.18	Nevers - Perpignan	34:9
01.09.17	Perpignan - Nevers	35:19

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