Match Info
Friendly InternationalDate: 22 November 2025, SaturdayLocation: Principality Stadium (Cardiff)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
Norway | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay |
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, Discovery+, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports Ultimate |
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 |
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Wales |
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New Zealand |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
15 |
40 |
1 |
|
 |
|
|
|
Watch |
 |
31 |
50 |
1.01 |
|
 |
20 |
26 |
1.01 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
22 ↑ (18) |
38.67 ↓ (47.5) |
1.01 (1.01) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-28)
- The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wales 4.3% | Draw 2.4% | New Zealand 93.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Wales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Wales - New Zealand Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -30.5 - New Zealand (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New Zealand (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 16:44 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Carre R.
| 1. Williams T.
|
2. Lake D. (C)
| 2. Taukei'aho S.
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3. Assiratti K.
| 3. Tosi P.
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4. Jenkins D.
| 4. Barrett S.
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5. Beard A.
| 5. Holland F.
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6. Mann A.
| 6. Parker S.
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7. Deaves-Small H.
| 7. Kirifi D.
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8. Plumtree T.
| 8. Sititi W.
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9. Williams T.
| 9. Ratima C.
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10. Edwards D.
| 10. McKenzie D.
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11. Rogers T.
| 11. Clarke C.
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12. Hawkins J.
| 12. Lienert-Brown A.
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13. Llewellyn M.
| 13. Ioane R.
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14. Rees-Zammit L.
| 14. Jordan W.
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15. Murray B.
| 15. Love R.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Coghlan B.
| 16. Bell G.
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17. Thomas G.
| 17. Newell F.
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18. Griffin A.
| 18. Bower G.
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19. Thomas F.
| 19. Lord J.
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20. Morse M.
| 20. Lio-Willie C.
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21. Hardy K.
| 21. Christie F.
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22. Evans J.
| 22. Faingaanuku L.
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23. Tompkins N.
| 23. Reece S.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Tandy S.
| . Robertson S.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (14 - 24)
- 5', Clarke C. (Try),
- 6', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Rogers T. (Try),
- 11', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 13', McKenzie D. (Penalty Goal),
- 29', Love R. (Try),
- 30', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', Rogers T. (Try),
- 34', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 38', Williams T. (Try),
- 39', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (12 - 28)
- 43', Rogers T. (Try),
- 44', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Ioane R. (Try),
- 51', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Thomas G. 🟨,
- 58', Reece S. (Try),
- 61', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 70', Plumtree T. 🟨,
- 70', Reece S. (Try),
- 71', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
- 76', Rees-Zammit L. (Try),
- 78', Clarke C. (Try),
- 79', McKenzie D. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wales won 0.New Zealand is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, New Zealand is the clear favorite.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wales won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 154:410. (average 15.4:41).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;