Match Info

World Cup Women - Play Offs - 3rd place

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1
France	TF 1, TMC
Ireland	RTE Player
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	Sky Sport 2
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport


	New Zealand W		France W

	1	X	2
	1.34	25	3.25
	1.29	21	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)	23 (23)	3.5 (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Zealand W
69.8%

Draw
4%

France W
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.6%

3.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Zealand W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

France W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand W than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for France W than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

New Zealand W - France W Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). France will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:22

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (26 - 7)
10', Bourdon P. (Try),
11', Arbez C. (Conversion Goal),
14', Demant R. (Try),
15', Holmes R. (Conversion Goal),
32', Brunt S. (Try),
33', Holmes R. (Conversion Goal),
37', Holmes R. (Try),
38', Holmes R. (Conversion Goal),
40', Bayfield L. (Try),
2nd Half (16 - 19)
46', Sorensen-McGee B. (Try),
55', Holmes R. (Penalty Goal),
60', Sorensen-McGee B. (Try),
62', Champon L. (Try),
63', Tuy L. (Conversion Goal),
66', Vernier G. (Try),
67', Tuy L. (Conversion Goal),
72', Boulard E. (Try),
80', Holmes R. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

France may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, New Zealand is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 104:110. (average 20.8:22).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Zealand W rugby
World Cup Rugby Union Women
19.09.25	New Zealand W - Canada W	19:34 ✺
13.09.25	New Zealand W - South Africa W	46:17 ✺
07.09.25	New Zealand W - Ireland W	40:0 ✺
31.08.25	New Zealand W - Japan W	62:19 ✺
24.08.25	New Zealand W - Spain W	54:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWWWW
- France W rugby
World Cup Rugby Union Women
20.09.25	France W - England W	17:35 ✺
14.09.25	France W - Ireland W	18:13 ✺
07.09.25	France W - South Africa W	57:10 ✺
31.08.25	France W - Brazil W	84:5 ✺
23.08.25	France W - Italy W	24:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WXV 1 Rugby Women
12.10.24	New Zealand W - France W	39:14
21.10.23	New Zealand W - France W	17:18
World Cup Rugby Union Women
05.11.22	New Zealand W - France W	25:24
Friendly International Rugby Union Women
20.11.21	France W - New Zealand W	29:7
Super Series Rugby Women
06.07.19	France W - New Zealand W	25:16

New Zealand W - France W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide