Match Info

NEW ZEALAND: BUNNINGS NPC - ROUND 8

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	17:05	Stan Sport


	Northland		Bay of Plenty

	1	X	2
	2.7	18	1.52	Watch
	2.62	21	1.5
	2.56	27	1.55
	2.65	24	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.67)	22.5 ↑ (21.25)	1.52 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northland
35%

Draw
4.1%

Bay of Plenty
60.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.6%

4.3%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

4.5%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Bay of Plenty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northland than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bay of Plenty than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Northland - Bay of Plenty Predictions

Users Predictions: Bay of Plenty will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:30

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Northland won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bay of Plenty will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Northland won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 221-316.

Including matches at home between the teams Northland won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 75-125.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northland
New Zealand NPC
16.09.23	North Harbour - Northland	50:31 ✺
10.09.23	Otago - Northland	30:15 ✺
01.09.23	Northland - Hawkes Bay	44:21 ✺
25.08.23	Manawatu - Northland	31:30 ✺
19.08.23	Northland - Tasman	32:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LLWLW
- Bay of Plenty
New Zealand NPC
16.09.23	Bay of Plenty - Wellington	14:26 ✺
09.09.23	Hawkes Bay - Bay of Plenty	35:38 ✺
01.09.23	Bay of Plenty - Otago	38:14 ✺
26.08.23	Taranaki - Bay of Plenty	19:29 ✺
18.08.23	Counties Manukau - Bay of Plenty	32:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
27.09.22	Bay of Plenty - Northland	21:23
03.11.21	Bay of Plenty - Northland	22:14
22.09.19	Northland - Bay of Plenty	22:46
12.10.18	Bay of Plenty - Northland	38:35
19.08.17	Northland - Bay of Plenty	28:23
09.09.16	Bay of Plenty - Northland	52:25
25.09.15	Northland - Bay of Plenty	5:37

Northland - Bay of Plenty