Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Forsyth Barr Stadium (Dunedin) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	14:05	Stan Sport
Brazil	01:05	Disney+
Chile	01:05	Disney+
Colombia	23:05	Disney+
Mexico	22:05	Disney+
Peru	23:05	Disney+
Uruguay	01:05	Disney+
Venezuela	00:05	Disney+


	Otago		Taranaki

	1	X	2
	1.91	34	1.91
	2.01	18	1.87
	2.06	22	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.16)	24.67 ↑ (24)	1.86 ↑ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otago
46.5%

Draw
3.8%

Taranaki
49.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

3.8%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

3.7%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Taranaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Otago than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	0%	7.1%

Otago - Taranaki Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Otago (1.85) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Otago will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Otago will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Otago (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Taranaki (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (12 - 7)
2nd Half (16 - 19)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Otago won 1.

Otago is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Taranaki's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Otago may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Otago won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 176:193. (average 25.1:27.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Otago won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 75:93. (average 25:31).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otago
New Zealand NPC
05.09.25	Otago - Northland	29:10 ✺
30.08.25	Tasman - Otago	27:31 ✺
23.08.25	Otago - Counties Manukau	33:19 ✺
16.08.25	Wellington - Otago	41:46 ✺
10.08.25	Otago - Hawkes Bay	21:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WWWWL
- Taranaki
New Zealand NPC
06.09.25	Taranaki - Bay of Plenty	17:43 ✺
29.08.25	Counties Manukau - Taranaki	22:43 ✺
22.08.25	Taranaki - Waikato	22:23 ✺
16.08.25	Auckland - Taranaki	8:50 ✺
08.08.25	North Harbour - Taranaki	24:46 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
30.08.24	Taranaki - Otago	22:18
16.09.23	Otago - Taranaki	17:36
19.11.21	Taranaki - Otago	32:19
09.10.21	Otago - Taranaki	23:30
26.09.20	Taranaki - Otago	19:30
08.09.19	Otago - Taranaki	35:27
29.08.15	Taranaki - Otago	27:34

Otago - Taranaki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide