Match Info

Bunnings NPC

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Trafalgar Park (Nelson) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport Rugby, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	04:10	Disney+
Australia	17:10	Stan Sport
Brazil	04:10	Disney+
Chile	03:10	Disney+
Colombia	02:10	Disney+
Mexico	01:10	Disney+
Nigeria	08:10	SuperSport Rugby
Peru	02:10	Disney+
South Africa	09:10	SuperSport Rugby
United Kingdom	08:10	Sky Go, Sky Sports Action
Uruguay	04:10	Disney+
Venezuela	03:10	Disney+


	Tasman		Otago

	1	X	2
	1.16	26	5
	1.14	30	5.6
	1.14	29.20	6.08	Watch
	1.12	29	5.5
	1.2	30	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.28)	28.84 ↑ (20)	5.36 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tasman
79.7%

Draw
3.2%

Otago
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.4%

4.6%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tasman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tasman's performance.

Otago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Otago might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Tasman - Otago Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 36:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 17)
2nd Half (6 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 3.

In this match, Tasman is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tasman won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 368:322. (average 30.7:26.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tasman won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 108:55. (average 36:18.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tasman Rugby
New Zealand NPC
23.08.25	North Harbour - Tasman	19:43 ✺
15.08.25	Northland - Tasman	14:28 ✺
09.08.25	Tasman - Manawatu	49:17 ✺
02.08.25	Bay of Plenty - Tasman	37:7 ✺
12.10.24	Tasman - Canterbury	14:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWWLL
- Otago
New Zealand NPC
23.08.25	Otago - Counties Manukau	33:19 ✺
16.08.25	Wellington - Otago	41:46 ✺
10.08.25	Otago - Hawkes Bay	21:27 ✺
02.08.25	Southland - Otago	15:24 ✺
04.10.24	Northland - Otago	28:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
28.09.24	Otago - Tasman	47:31
04.08.23	Tasman - Otago	27:15
12.08.22	Otago - Tasman	25:19
13.11.20	Otago - Tasman	20:26
06.10.18	Otago - Tasman	21:47
16.09.17	Otago - Tasman	27:29
10.09.16	Otago - Tasman	30:27

Tasman - Otago: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide