Match Info

FRANCE: TOP 14 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	Oyonnax Rugby		Stade Français

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.1
	1.73	19	2.1
	1.62	21	2.38
	1.8	15	2
	1.81	21	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.4)	19.4 ↓ (20)	2.12 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oyonnax Rugby
52.4%

Draw
4.7%

Stade Français
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

4.4%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

4.4%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oyonnax Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oyonnax Rugby's form might have worsened.

Stade Français has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stade Français's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oyonnax Rugby than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oyonnax Rugby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stade Français, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oyonnax Rugby - Stade Français Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Top 14 (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oyonnax won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Oyonnax to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Oyonnax won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 208-239.

Including matches at home between the teams Oyonnax won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 106-61.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oyonnax Rugby
French Top 14
27.01.24	Aviron Bayonnais - Oyonnax Rugby	21:17 ✺
Challenge Cup Rugby
20.01.24	Oyonnax Rugby - Cheetahs	28:27 ✺
13.01.24	Sharks - Oyonnax Rugby	38:7 ✺
French Top 14
06.01.24	Perpignan - Oyonnax Rugby	27:12 ✺
29.12.23	Oyonnax Rugby - Section Paloise	34:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLLW
- Stade Français
French Top 14
27.01.24	Bordeaux Bègles - Stade Français	26:30 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
20.01.24	Stade Français - Stormers	25:24 ✺
13.01.24	Leinster - Stade Français	43:7 ✺
French Top 14
06.01.24	Stade Français - Clermont	14:14 ✺
30.12.23	Toulon - Stade Français	19:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
25.08.23	Stade Français - Oyonnax Rugby	28:18
04.03.18	Oyonnax Rugby - Stade Français	33:27
19.11.17	Stade Français - Oyonnax Rugby	39:35
07.05.16	Stade Français - Oyonnax Rugby	69:8
27.12.15	Oyonnax Rugby - Stade Français	25:12
31.01.15	Stade Français - Oyonnax Rugby	13:15
30.08.14	Oyonnax Rugby - Stade Français	33:6

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