The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Oyonnax Rugby 53.1%
Draw 4.4%
Section Paloise 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.3%
4.4%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73%
5.2%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oyonnax Rugby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oyonnax Rugby's form might have worsened.
Section Paloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Section Paloise's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oyonnax Rugby than the current prediction. (+19.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oyonnax Rugby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Section Paloise than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Section Paloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Oyonnax Rugby - Section Paloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Oyonnax will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Section Paloise will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:23
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Oyonnax won 1.
Oyonnax is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Section Paloise is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Oyonnax won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 129-194.
Including matches at home between the teams Oyonnax won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 84-63.