Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 4

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Viaplay
France	18:30	beIN Sports
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
Norway	18:30	Viaplay
United Kingdom	17:30	TNT Sports


	Stade Français		Stormers

	1	X	2
	3.3	29	1.36
	3.25	23	1.33
				Watch
	3.1	23	1.36
	3.32	19	1.37
	3.3	23	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.58)	23.4 ↑ (20)	1.35 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Français
28.2%

Draw
3.9%

Stormers
67.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.7%

4.6%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

5.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Français's form might have worsened.

Stormers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stormers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Français, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stormers than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stormers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stade Français - Stormers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 19:26

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Preview

Stade Français is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stormers is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Stade Français could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stormers have a series of home games.

In this match Stormers is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Français
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.01.24	Leinster - Stade Français	43:7 ✺
French Top 14
06.01.24	Stade Français - Clermont	14:14 ✺
30.12.23	Toulon - Stade Français	19:5 ✺
23.12.23	Stade Français - La Rochelle	18:13 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
17.12.23	Stade Français - Leicester Tigers	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLWL
- Stormers Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.01.24	Stormers - Sale Sharks	31:24 ✺
United Rugby Championship
30.12.23	Stormers - Sharks	21:15 ✺
23.12.23	Stormers - Blue Bulls	26:20 ✺
European Rugby Champions Cup
16.12.23	Stormers - La Rochelle	21:20 ✺
10.12.23	Leicester Tigers - Stormers	35:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Français
French Top 14
31.10.26	Stade Français - La Rochelle	✺
- Stormers Rugby
United Rugby Championship
31.10.26	Stormers - Ulster	✺

Stade Français - Stormers

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Stade Français - Stormers Predictions

Preview

Form

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