Match Info
League One - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 25 May 2025, SundayLocation: Kumagaya Rugby Ground (Kumagaya)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Japan | J sports 4 |
 Malaysia | Astro Sports Plus |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
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Panasonic Wild Knights |
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Kubota Spears |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.44 |
21 |
2.8 |
|
 |
1.44 |
30 |
2.95 |
|
 |
1.5 |
23 |
2.62 |
|
 |
1.44 |
30 |
2.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.45) |
26 ↑
(23) |
2.83 ↓
(2.85) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Panasonic Wild Knights
63.7% | Draw
3.6% | Kubota Spears
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panasonic Wild Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Kubota Spears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panasonic Wild Knights than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kubota Spears than the current prediction. (-1.1%)Predictions
Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 29:23 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
4.  Mitchell L.
| .  Vailea H.
|
5.  de Jager L.
| 1. Kamimori Y.
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6. Gunter B.
| 2. Marx M.
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7. Boshier L.
| 3. Helu O.
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8. Cornelsen J.
| 5. Bulbring D.
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10. Yamasawa K.
| 6. Paul T.
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11. Osada T.
| 7. Suenaga T.
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12. de Allende D.
| 8. Makisi F. (C)
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13. Riley D.
| 9. Fujiwara S.
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14. Takeyama K.
| 10.  Foley B.
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15. Yamasawa T.
| 12. Tatekawa H.
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16. Sakate A. (C)
| 13. Pretorius R.
|
17. Inagaki K.
| 14. Nezuka K.
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18.  Finau L.
| 15. Oshikawa A.
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21. Koyama T.
| 19. Botha R.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
. Koroibete M.
| . Hayate E.
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1. Millar C.
| . Kaishi K.
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2. Sato K.
| . van Zeeland D.
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3. Ai Valu A.
| 11. Yamada H.
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9. Takagi Y.
| 18. Tamefusa K.
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19. Haangana E.
| 20. Tupa F.
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20. Onishi I.
| 21. Hall B.
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23. Noguchi R.
| 23. Labuschagne L.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 22)
- 3', Marx M. (Try),
- 7', Yamasawa K. (Penalty Goal),
- 10', Fujiwara S. (Try),
- 11', Foley B. (Conversion Goal),
- 14', Cornelsen J. (Try),
- 15', Yamasawa K. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Foley B. (Penalty Goal),
- 32', Fujiwara S. (Try),
- 33', Foley B. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (14 - 6)
- 49', Vailea H. (Penalty Goal),
- 51', Takeyama K. (Try),
- 52', Yamasawa K. (Conversion Goal),
- 57', Yamasawa K. (Try),
- 58', Yamasawa K. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Vailea H. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wild Knights won 3.In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.Kubota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Kubota has had a series of home games. In this match, Wild Knights is considered a favorite.We predict that Wild Knights will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Wild Knights won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 229:140. (average 28.6:17.5).Including home matches between the teams, Wild Knights won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 145:91. (average 24.2:15.2).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Japan League One Rugby Union | | | 03.05.25 | Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights | 29:29 | | 28.12.24 | Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears | 26:24 | | 22.03.24 | Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights | 20:55 | | 20.05.23 | Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears | 15:17 | | 04.03.23 | Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears | 30:15 | | 22.05.22 | Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears | 24:10 | | 07.05.22 | Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears | 35:14 |
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