Match Info

League One - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Kumagaya Rugby Ground (Kumagaya)


	Panasonic Wild Knights		Kubota Spears

	1	X	2
	1.56	21	2.48
	1.61	20.24	2.47
	1.53	21	2.4
	1.55	21	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.53)	20.81 ↓ (21)	2.46 ↓ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panasonic Wild Knights
58.5%

Draw
4.4%

Kubota Spears
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

4.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

4.2%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panasonic Wild Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Kubota Spears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panasonic Wild Knights than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kubota Spears than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 10)
2nd Half (17 - 16)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wild Knights won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Wild Knights may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wild Knights is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Wild Knights will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Wild Knights won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 285:198. (average 28.5:19.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Wild Knights won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 169:119. (average 24.1:17).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panasonic Wild Knights
Japan League One Rugby Union
09.05.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Toshiba Brave Lupus	48:0 ✺
01.05.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Panasonic Wild Knights	27:24 ✺
25.04.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	57:19 ✺
18.04.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Panasonic Wild Knights	24:34 ✺
04.04.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Canon Eagles	42:15 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW
- Kubota Spears
Japan League One Rugby Union
24.05.26	Kubota Spears - Toshiba Brave Lupus	26:3 ✺
10.05.26	Kubota Spears - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	19:24 ✺
03.05.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Kubota Spears	8:52 ✺
25.04.26	Kubota Spears - Honda Heat	54:21 ✺
18.04.26	Tokyo Suntory Sungoliath - Kubota Spears	22:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
13.03.26	Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights	30:32
25.05.25	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	24:28
03.05.25	Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights	29:29
28.12.24	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	26:24
22.03.24	Kubota Spears - Panasonic Wild Knights	20:55
20.05.23	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	15:17
04.03.23	Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears	30:15

Panasonic Wild Knights - Kubota Spears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide