Match Info

Top 14 - Round 12

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Aimé Giral (Perpignan)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	Perpignan		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.69	21	2.21
	1.79	20.48	2.19	Watch
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.55	50	2.31
	1.75	21	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.73)	25.75 ↑ (18.49)	2.22 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 45.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perpignan
54.5%

Draw
3.6%

Clermont
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

5.1%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

5.8%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perpignan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clermont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Perpignan - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tetrashvili G.	1. Akhaladze G.
2. Malolo S.	2. Fourcade E.
3. Brookes K.	3. Ojovan C.
4. Yato P.	4. Lanen T.
5. Tanguy M.	5. Ceyte T.
6. Van Tonder J.	6. Tixeront K.
7. Ritchie J.	7. Kremer M.
8. Oviedo J.	8. Muarua P.
9. Hall J.	9. Jauneau B.
10. Urdapilleta B.	10. Plummer H.
11. Joseph J.	11. Raka A.
12. Buliruarua E.	12. Tauzin L.
13. Duguivalu A.	13. Loaloa A.
14. Petaia J.	14. Delguy B.
15. Forner T.	15. Hamdaoui K.
Substitutes
16. Ruiz I.	16. Lam S.
17. Beria G.	17. Lotrian S.
18. Warion A.	18. Simmons R.
19. Le Corvec M.	19. Tolofua S.
20. Hicks M.	20. Zamora L.
21. Ecochard T.	21. Simone I.
22. Reus H.	22. Sowakula P.
23. Roelofse N.	23. Montagne R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (16 - 6)
1', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
7', Joseph J. (Try),
8', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
18', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
22', Joseph J. 🟥,
25', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
35', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
36', Plummer H. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 14)
44', Jauneau B. (Try),
44', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
48', Urdapilleta B. (Try),
49', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
58', Urdapilleta B. (Penalty Goal),
72', Delguy B. (Try),
72', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 1.

Perpignan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Clermont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Perpignan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Perpignan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 287:433. (average 20.5:30.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Perpignan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 162:168. (average 23.1:24).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA Perpignan
Challenge Cup Rugby
13.12.25	Benetton Treviso - Perpignan	44:31 ✺
07.12.25	Perpignan - Newport Gwent Dragons	41:17 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Castres - Perpignan	23:7 ✺
22.11.25	Perpignan - Montpellier	0:28 ✺
01.11.25	Section Paloise - Perpignan	27:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- ASM Clermont Auvergne
European Rugby Champions Cup
13.12.25	Clermont - Sale Sharks	14:35 ✺
06.12.25	Saracens - Clermont	47:10 ✺
French Top 14
29.11.25	Clermont - Stade Français	36:32 ✺
22.11.25	Lyon - Clermont	43:24 ✺
01.11.25	Montpellier - Clermont	7:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
17.05.25	Clermont - Perpignan	31:13
28.09.24	Perpignan - Clermont	33:3
11.05.24	Perpignan - Clermont	28:35
26.08.23	Clermont - Perpignan	38:14
07.01.23	Clermont - Perpignan	31:20
15.10.22	Perpignan - Clermont	10:20
26.02.22	Clermont - Perpignan	52:12

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