Match Info

Top 14 - Round 11

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Pierre-Fabre (Castres)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ France
United-kingdom	FloSports app


	Castres		Perpignan

	1	X	2
	1.1	34	7
	1.09	35	7.2
	1.10	32.05	7.83	Watch
	1.08	34	7.5
	1.1	36	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.1)	34.21 ↑ (32.05)	7.41 ↓ (7.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-16)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castres
84.8%

Draw
2.7%

Perpignan
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.1%

2.9%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Castres - Perpignan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +14.5 - Perpignan (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Perpignan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:17

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walcker Q.	1. Tetrashvili G.
2. Durand T.	2. Ruiz I.
3. Azar A.	3. Brookes K.
4. Ducat G.	4. Van Tonder J.
5. Vanverberghe F.	5. Tanguy M.
6. Babillot M.	6. Hicks M.
7. Delaporte B.	7. Ritchie J.
8. Ramototabua V.	8. Oviedo J.
9. Fernandez J.	9. Ecochard T.
10. Popelin P.	10. Urdapilleta B.
11. Baget R.	11. Joseph J.
12. Goodhue J.	12. Paiaaua D.
13. Cocagi A.	13. De La Fuente J.
14. Karawalevu V.	14. Petaia J.
15. Chabouni T.	15. Dubois L.
Substitutes
16. Zarantonello L.	16. Malolo S.
17. Galisson L.	17. Beria G.
18. Maravat G.	18. Chinarro B.
19. Ardron T.	19. Diaby M.
20. Papalii A.	20. Hall J.
21. Doubrere G.	21. Kretchmann G.
22. Palis G.	22. Duguivalu A.
23. Chilachava L.	23. Roelofse N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (7 - 7)
24', Dubois L. (Try),
25', Urdapilleta B. (Conversion Goal),
30', Ramototabua V. (Try),
31', Popelin P. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (16 - 0)
41', Ruiz I. 🟨,
46', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
51', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
66', Popelin P. (Penalty Goal),
80+1', Goodhue J. (Try),
80+4', Chabouni T. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro D2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castres won 2.

Castres has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Perpignan is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Castres is the obvious favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Castres won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 327:277. (average 23.4:19.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Castres won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 205:123. (average 29.3:17.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Castres Olympique
French Top 14
22.11.25	La Rochelle - Castres	17:19 ✺
01.11.25	Castres - Bordeaux Bègles	26:28 ✺
25.10.25	Clermont - Castres	63:14 ✺
18.10.25	Castres - Stade Français	29:24 ✺
11.10.25	Montauban - Castres	28:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW
- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
22.11.25	Perpignan - Montpellier	0:28 ✺
01.11.25	Section Paloise - Perpignan	27:23 ✺
25.10.25	Montauban - Perpignan	29:22 ✺
18.10.25	Perpignan - Bordeaux Bègles	12:27 ✺
11.10.25	Lyon - Perpignan	44:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Top 14
15.02.25	Perpignan - Castres	20:20
21.09.24	Castres - Perpignan	27:12
30.03.24	Perpignan - Castres	43:12
31.12.23	Castres - Perpignan	13:17
28.05.23	Castres - Perpignan	26:16
01.10.22	Perpignan - Castres	14:10
22.05.22	Castres - Perpignan	28:12

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