Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 1

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Perpignan		Newport Gwent Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.25	26	4
	1.24	24	4.1
	1.25	23	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.35)	24.33 ↑ (21.33)	4.03 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perpignan
73.5%

Draw
3.8%

Newport Gwent Dragons
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

4.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perpignan's performance.

Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Perpignan - Newport Gwent Dragons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:22

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
. Chinarro B.	. Carter B.
. Diaby M.	. Dyer R.
. Duguivalu A.	. Evans C.
. Dvali A.	. Inisi F.
. Hall J.	. Lewis-Hughes S.
. Joseph J.	. Manzano R. M.
. Kretchmann G.	. Martin M.
. Le Corvec M.	. O'Brien A.
. Malolo S.	. Richards D.
. Paiaaua D.	. Scarfe S.
. Petaia J.	. Screech M.
. Ritchie J.	. Westwood J.
. Roelofse N.	. Williams R.
. Tetrashvili G.	. Yendle L.
. Veredamu T.	. Young T.
Substitutes
. Aprasidze G.	. Austin W.
. Devaux B.	. de Beer T.
. Fahy M.	. Hope C.
. Fakatika A.	. Hunt R.
. Lagvilava D.	. Keddie H.
. Montgaillard V.	. Kelleher-Griffiths D.
. Poulet J.	. Langton-Cryer B.
. Van Tonder J.	. Rosser E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 0)
12', Hall J. (Try),
13', Kretchmann G. (Conversion Goal),
16', Paiaaua D. 🟥,
28', Diaby M. (Try),
29', Kretchmann G. (Conversion Goal),
40+6', Kretchmann G. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (24 - 17)
50', Joseph J. (Try),
55', Westwood J. (Try),
56', O'Brien A. (Conversion Goal),
60', Chinarro B. (Try),
65', Austin W. (Try),
71', Carter B. 🟨,
71', (Penalty Try),
76', Le Corvec M. (Try),
77', Aprasidze G. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', Austin W. (Try),

Preview

Perpignan is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In this match, Perpignan is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Perpignan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:16.

Including home match between the teams, Perpignan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA Perpignan
French Top 14
29.11.25	Castres - Perpignan	23:7 ✺
22.11.25	Perpignan - Montpellier	0:28 ✺
01.11.25	Section Paloise - Perpignan	27:23 ✺
25.10.25	Montauban - Perpignan	29:22 ✺
18.10.25	Perpignan - Bordeaux Bègles	12:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Newport Gwent Dragons
United Rugby Championship
28.11.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Leinster	10:24 ✺
25.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Ospreys	19:19 ✺
17.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Cardiff Rugby	17:24 ✺
11.10.25	Glasgow Warriors - Newport Gwent Dragons	49:0 ✺
03.10.25	Newport Gwent Dragons - Sharks	17:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Challenge Cup Rugby
11.12.21	Perpignan - Newport Gwent Dragons	22:16

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