Match Info

Date: 13 January 2022, Thursday


	RC Narbonne		Agen

	1	X	2
	3.3	19	1.33
	3.5	26	1.3
	3.6	22	1.28
	3.6	21	1.3
	3.24	26	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.09)	22.8 ↓ (24)	1.31 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RC Narbonne
26.5%

Draw
4%

Agen
69.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

3.9%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

3.7%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RC Narbonne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that RC Narbonne's form might have worsened.

Agen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Agen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Narbonne than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for RC Narbonne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agen than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Agen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	5.9%	82.4%

RC Narbonne - Agen Predictions

Users Predictions: Agen will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 17:25

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Preview

RC Narbonne has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Agen is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently RC Narbonne have a series of guest games.

Recently Agen have a series of home games.

In this match Agen is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches RC Narbonne won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 169-238.

Including matches at home between the teams RC Narbonne won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 99-72.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Narbonne
French Pro D2
07.01.22	Stade Aurillacois - RC Narbonne	18:13 ✺
17.12.21	Oyonnax Rugby - RC Narbonne	70:0 ✺
10.12.21	RC Narbonne - Carcassonne	22:27 ✺
03.12.21	Vannes - RC Narbonne	13:13 ✺
26.11.21	FC Grenoble - RC Narbonne	26:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LLLTL
- SU Agen Lot-et-Garonne
French Pro D2
06.01.22	Agen - Aviron Bayonnais	16:16 ✺
17.12.21	Agen - Provence Rugby	20:18 ✺
10.12.21	Nevers - Agen	41:8 ✺
03.12.21	Agen - Colomiers	18:8 ✺
26.11.21	Agen - Oyonnax Rugby	14:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
08.10.21	Agen - RC Narbonne	15:17
24.02.17	Agen - RC Narbonne	32:22
04.11.16	RC Narbonne - Agen	43:33
15.03.15	RC Narbonne - Agen	23:15
14.09.14	Agen - RC Narbonne	43:8
18.05.14	Agen - RC Narbonne	25:17
16.02.14	RC Narbonne - Agen	33:24

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