Match Info

League One - Round 14

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Komazawa Stadium (Tokyo)


	Ricoh Black Rams		Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers

	1	X	2
	2.85	19	1.45
	2.86	22.2	1.47
	2.75	23	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.92)	21.4 ↑ (20.31)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ricoh Black Rams
32.6%

Draw
4.3%

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

4.5%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

4.4%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ricoh Black Rams has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ricoh Black Rams than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers than the current prediction. (+2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (19 - 35)
2nd Half (0 - 5)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Black Rams won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Kobe Steel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kobe Steel is seen as the favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Black Rams won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 200:340. (average 22.2:37.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Black Rams won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 101:100. (average 25.3:25).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ricoh Black Rams
Japan League One Rugby Union
29.03.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	33:7 ✺
21.03.26	Panasonic Wild Knights - Ricoh Black Rams	31:7 ✺
14.03.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Shizuoka Blue Revs	37:33 ✺
27.02.26	Toshiba Brave Lupus - Ricoh Black Rams	14:33 ✺
20.02.26	Ricoh Black Rams - Urayasu D-Rocks	41:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLWWW
- Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers
Japan League One Rugby Union
28.03.26	Shizuoka Blue Revs - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	20:41 ✺
20.03.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Canon Eagles	29:38 ✺
14.03.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Mitsubishi Sagamihara DynaBoars	61:10 ✺
27.02.26	Urayasu D-Rocks - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	19:78 ✺
21.02.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Panasonic Wild Knights	40:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan League One Rugby Union
16.01.26	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Ricoh Black Rams	67:21
30.03.25	Ricoh Black Rams - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	24:27
31.01.25	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Ricoh Black Rams	44:15
24.02.24	Ricoh Black Rams - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	17:27
10.03.23	Ricoh Black Rams - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	41:26
12.03.22	Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers - Ricoh Black Rams	56:21
14.03.21	Ricoh Black Rams - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers	19:20

Ricoh Black Rams - Kobe Steel Kobelco Steelers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide