Match Info

FRANCE: Pro D2 - Round 25

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Rouen Normandie		Béziers

	1	X	2
	1.73	21	2.2
	1.73	21	2.1
	1.74	15	2.27
	1.67	21	2.25
	1.75	17	2.21
	1.71	23	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	19.67 ↓ (20)	2.2 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rouen Normandie
53.5%

Draw
4.7%

Béziers
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

4.4%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

3.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen Normandie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Béziers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen Normandie than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rouen Normandie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Béziers than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Béziers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Rouen Normandie - Béziers Predictions

Users Predictions: Béziers will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:24

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 8)
9', Vallee P. (Try),
9', Pourteau F. (Conversion Goal),
12', Arnoldi W. (Try),
33', Pourteau F. (Penalty Goal),
33', Lorre G. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 6)
48', Marques S. (Penalty Goal),
53', Pourteau F. (Penalty Goal),
75', Marques S. (Penalty Goal),
77', Costa L. (Try),
78', Pourteau F. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rouen won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Rouen to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Rouen won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 197-206.

Including matches at home between the teams Rouen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 93-67.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rouen Normandie Rugby
French Pro D2
29.03.24	Agen - Rouen Normandie	24:23 ✺
08.03.24	Rouen Normandie - Stade Aurillacois	38:13 ✺
01.03.24	FC Grenoble - Rouen Normandie	43:16 ✺
23.02.24	Rouen Normandie - Montauban	29:10 ✺
16.02.24	Biarritz - Rouen Normandie	22:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWL
- AS Béziers
French Pro D2
29.03.24	Béziers - Biarritz	35:31 ✺
08.03.24	US Dax - Béziers	57:20 ✺
29.02.24	Béziers - Brive	34:15 ✺
22.02.24	Vannes - Béziers	45:17 ✺
16.02.24	Béziers - Mont-De-Marsan	25:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
01.09.23	Béziers - Rouen Normandie	22:21
28.04.23	Rouen Normandie - Béziers	34:17
25.11.22	Béziers - Rouen Normandie	42:17
06.05.22	Rouen Normandie - Béziers	26:21
10.12.21	Béziers - Rouen Normandie	34:29
02.04.21	Béziers - Rouen Normandie	23:25
27.11.20	Rouen Normandie - Béziers	15:10

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