Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 16

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 4


	SA XV Charente		Nevers

	1	X	2
	1.33	23	3.4
	1.32	20	3.5
	1.25	25.25	4.31	Watch
	1.22	26	4.33
	1.21	21	4.56
	1.35	21	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.33)	22.71 ↓ (24)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 50.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SA XV Charente
72.3%

Draw
4.1%

Nevers
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

3.8%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4%

3.6%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SA XV Charente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Nevers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SA XV Charente than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevers than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

SA XV Charente - Nevers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. SA XV Charente will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:21

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (10 - 3)
2nd Half (17 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, SA XV Charente is considered a favorite.

We predict that SA XV Charente will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 296:283. (average 19.7:18.9).

Including home matches between the teams, SA XV Charente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 162:95. (average 23.1:13.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
5	Angouleme	5	3	0	2	167:125	14
16	Nevers	5	0	0	5	122:152	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Soyaux Angoulême XV Charente
French Pro D2
19.12.25	Carcassonne - SA XV Charente	35:31 ✺
11.12.25	SA XV Charente - Agen	22:20 ✺
05.12.25	Béziers - SA XV Charente	15:20 ✺
28.11.25	SA XV Charente - Stade Aurillacois	15:20 ✺
14.11.25	Mont-De-Marsan - SA XV Charente	6:16 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWWLW
- USO Nevers
French Pro D2
19.12.25	Nevers - Brive	33:31 ✺
12.12.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Nevers	34:18 ✺
05.12.25	Nevers - US Dax	32:21 ✺
28.11.25	Valence Romans Drôme - Nevers	13:3 ✺
14.11.25	Colomiers - Nevers	49:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
03.10.25	Nevers - SA XV Charente	33:10
11.04.25	Nevers - SA XV Charente	30:23
20.12.24	SA XV Charente - Nevers	35:10
26.04.24	Nevers - SA XV Charente	15:16
03.11.23	SA XV Charente - Nevers	27:23
06.01.23	SA XV Charente - Nevers	20:26
02.09.22	Nevers - SA XV Charente	20:18

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