The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SA XV Charente 41.6%
Draw 4.7%
Provence Rugby 53.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.6%
4.7%
48.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
4.4%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SA XV Charente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Provence Rugby's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SA XV Charente than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
0%
60%
SA XV Charente - Provence Rugby Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. SA XV Charente will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Provence will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SA XV Charente (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:29
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (8 - 15)
12', Vareiro M. (Penalty Goal),
14', Botica B. (Penalty Goal),
19', Julien L. (Try),
19', Vareiro M. (Conversion Goal),
24', Martel T. (Try),
40', Rasaku K. (Try),
2nd Half (18 - 13)
43', Vareiro M. (Penalty Goal),
51', (Missed Penalty),
52', Botica B. (Penalty Goal),
56', Bituniyata S. (Try),
57', Vareiro M. (Conversion Goal),
63', Lafon M. (Try),
68', (Missed Conversion),
74', Berges P. (Penalty Goal),
74', Vareiro M. (Penalty Goal),
76', Lemardelet M. (Try),
77', Berges P. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 1.
In recent outings, SA XV Charente has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Provence is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, SA XV Charente has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 319:373 (averaging 22.8:26.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SA XV Charente against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 157:117 goals (averaging 22.4:16.7 per game).
France
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