Match Info

FRANCE: PRO D2 - ROUND 14

Date: 15 December 2023, Friday


	SA XV Charente		Rouen Normandie

	1	X	2
	1.3	26	3.6
	1.33	23	3.25
	1.3	23	3.5
	1.32	26	3.44
	1.28	23	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.36)	24.2 ↑ (20)	3.52 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 41.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

SA XV Charente
70.2%

Draw
3.8%

Rouen Normandie
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

4.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

4.1%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

SA XV Charente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SA XV Charente's performance.

Rouen Normandie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SA XV Charente than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rouen Normandie than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

SA XV Charente - Rouen Normandie Predictions

Users Predictions: SA XV Charente will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:17

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches SA XV Charente won 1.

Recent matches SA XV Charente is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rouen is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match SA XV Charente is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's SA XV Charente to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Last 6 head-to-head matches SA XV Charente won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 105-144.

Including matches at home between the teams SA XV Charente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 63-70.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Soyaux Angoulême XV Charente
French Pro D2
08.12.23	SA XV Charente - Agen	16:7 ✺
01.12.23	Valence Romans Drôme - SA XV Charente	6:0 ✺
17.11.23	SA XV Charente - FC Grenoble	15:28 ✺
10.11.23	Brive - SA XV Charente	10:16 ✺
03.11.23	SA XV Charente - Nevers	27:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLLWW
- Rouen Normandie Rugby
French Pro D2
08.12.23	Rouen Normandie - FC Grenoble	10:29 ✺
01.12.23	Provence Rugby - Rouen Normandie	45:24 ✺
17.11.23	Rouen Normandie - Colomiers	37:24 ✺
10.11.23	Nevers - Rouen Normandie	16:12 ✺
03.11.23	Rouen Normandie - Vannes	9:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
13.01.23	Rouen Normandie - SA XV Charente	42:16
21.10.22	SA XV Charente - Rouen Normandie	22:26
26.03.21	Rouen Normandie - SA XV Charente	15:8
09.10.20	SA XV Charente - Rouen Normandie	24:28
21.02.20	Rouen Normandie - SA XV Charente	17:18
06.09.19	SA XV Charente - Rouen Normandie	17:16

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