The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SA XV Charente 80.1%
Draw 3.1%
Valence Romans Drôme 16.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.6%
5.1%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
76.9%
6.2%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SA XV Charente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SA XV Charente's performance.
Valence Romans Drôme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valence Romans Drôme might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SA XV Charente than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valence Romans Drôme than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valence Romans Drôme could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SA XV Charente - Valence Romans Drôme Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:20
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 13)
2nd Half (11 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 2.
Recent form of SA XV Charente has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Valence Romans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, SA XV Charente is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, SA XV Charente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 168:194. (average 18.7:21.6).
Including home matches between the teams, SA XV Charente won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 108:75. (average 27:18.8).