Match Info

European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Cape Town Stadium (Cape Town)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport Rugby
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Nigeria	SuperSport Rugby
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SuperSport Rugby
United-kingdom	FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby


	Stormers		La Rochelle

	1	X	2
	1.01	51	17
	1.01	45	12
	1.01	44.07	14.05	Watch
	1.01	34	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.12)	43.52 ↑ (30.88)	14.51 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stormers
91.5%

Draw
2.1%

La Rochelle
6.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.2%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stormers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stormers's performance.

La Rochelle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Rochelle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Stormers - La Rochelle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 55.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:21

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mchunu N.	1. Wardi R.
2. Venter A.	2. Lespiaucq-Brettes Q.
3. Fouche N.	3. Sorin K.
4. Moerat S. (C)	4. Dillane U.
5. Schickerling J.	5. Douglas K.
6. de Villiers P.	6. Kante-Samba C.
7. Dixon B.	7. Fraindt K.
8. Roos E.	8. Andjisseramatchi L. (C)
9. Reinach C.	9. Couillaud N.
10. Feinberg-Mngomezulu S.	10. Jurd D.
11. Zas L.	11. Bosmorin H.
12. Roche J.	12. Daunivucu S.
13. Nel R.	13. Seguret A.
14. Maart D.	14. Vunivalu S.
15. Gelant W.	15. Bollengier N.
Substitutes
16. Kotze J.	16. Sutidze N.
17. Kebble O.	17. Luaki C.
18. Sandi S.	18. Sclavi J.
19. Evans C.	19. Huchet S.
20. Ackermann R.	20. Kuntelia A.
21. Theunissen M.	21. Richer E.
22. Khan I.	22. Berjon T.
23. Simelane W.	23. Leyds D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (16 - 7)
3', Maart D. (Try),
8', Zas L. (Try),
26', Lespiaucq-Brettes Q. (Try),
27', Jurd D. (Conversion Goal),
30', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Penalty Goal),
40+2', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (26 - 14)
46', Venter A. (Try),
48', Fouche N. 🟨,
50', Sutidze N. (Try),
50', Jurd D. (Conversion Goal),
53', Maart D. (Try),
54', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
57', Gelant W. (Try),
58', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),
67', Bollengier N. (Try),
68', Jurd D. (Conversion Goal),
71', Theunissen M. (Try),
72', Feinberg-Mngomezulu S. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

La Rochelle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

La Rochelle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stormers is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stormers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 42:42. (average 21:21).

Including home matches between the teams, Stormers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 42:42. (average 21:21).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stormers Rugby
European Rugby Champions Cup
05.12.25	Aviron Bayonnais - Stormers	17:26 ✺
United Rugby Championship
29.11.25	Munster - Stormers	26:27 ✺
25.10.25	Benetton Treviso - Stormers	16:31 ✺
18.10.25	Zebre - Stormers	13:31 ✺
10.10.25	Llanelli Scarlets - Stormers	0:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWW
- La Rochelle
European Rugby Champions Cup
06.12.25	La Rochelle - Leicester Tigers	39:20 ✺
French Top 14
30.11.25	Section Paloise - La Rochelle	53:33 ✺
22.11.25	La Rochelle - Castres	17:19 ✺
08.11.25	Toulon - La Rochelle	39:14 ✺
02.11.25	La Rochelle - Racing Métro	33:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

European Rugby Champions Cup
06.04.24	Stormers - La Rochelle	21:22
16.12.23	Stormers - La Rochelle	21:20

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